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Serie A | Gameweek 24
Feb 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Sampdoria logo

Lazio
1 - 0
Sampdoria

Alberto (80')
Vecino (71'), Casale (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Leris (49'), Gabbiadini (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: CFR Cluj 0-0 Lazio
Thursday, February 23 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Sampdoria 1-2 Bologna
Saturday, February 18 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Lazio 2-0 Sampdoria

Lazio have conceded the joint-fewest goals in the first half of games across Europe's top five leagues (four, level with Barcelona), while Samp have scored just five in the first half all season - no team has fewer. Logic dictates, then, that the home side should comfortably keep their visitors at bay before one of many attacking options strikes at the other end: cue more misery for Sampdoria. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 67.89%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 12.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.66%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (4.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
LazioDrawSampdoria
67.89% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04) 19.7% (0.094000000000001 0.09) 12.41% (-0.051 -0.05)
Both teams to score 45.41% (-0.441 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.61% (-0.512 -0.51)47.39% (0.516 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.39% (-0.478 -0.48)69.61% (0.48099999999999 0.48)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.05% (-0.166 -0.17)12.95% (0.169 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.58% (-0.34099999999999 -0.34)39.42% (0.343 0.34)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.16% (-0.405 -0.41)47.84% (0.408 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.89% (-0.302 -0.3)83.11% (0.303 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 67.88%
    Sampdoria 12.41%
    Draw 19.7%
LazioDrawSampdoria
2-0 @ 12.94% (0.12 0.12)
1-0 @ 12.66% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-0 @ 8.82% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.5% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-0 @ 4.51% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.32% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.05 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.84% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.36% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 67.88%
1-1 @ 9.34% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.2% (0.133 0.13)
2-2 @ 3.52% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 19.7%
0-1 @ 4.57% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 3.44% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 12.41%

How you voted: Lazio vs Sampdoria

Lazio
Draw
Sampdoria
Lazio
89.2%
Draw
4.5%
Sampdoria
6.4%
157
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2022 5.30pm
May 7, 2022 7.45pm
Dec 5, 2021 5pm
Feb 20, 2021 2pm
Lazio
1-0
Sampdoria
Alberto (24')
Lulic (45'), Marusic (82'), Escalante (89'), Patric (90+3')

Silva (35'), Ekdal (60'), Colley (74')
Oct 17, 2020 5pm
Sampdoria
3-0
Lazio
Quagliarella (32'), Augello (41'), Damsgaard (74')
Ramirez (43'), Thorsby (64')

Parolo (12'), Caicedo (44')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan29197365273864
2Napoli29187445232261
3Atalanta BCAtalanta29177563283558
4Bologna291411449341553
5Juventus291313345281752
6Lazio2915685041951
7Roma29147844301449
8Fiorentina29146946301648
9AC Milan29138844331147
10Udinese29117113539-440
11Torino2991193434038
12Genoa29811102837-935
13Como2978143546-1129
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2992182958-2929
15CagliariCagliari2968152844-1626
16Parma29510143549-1425
17Lecce2967162148-2725
18Empoli29410152346-2322
19VeneziaVenezia29311152342-1920
20Monza2929182449-2515


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