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Monza
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Venezia
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Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 19, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Lecce logo

Fiorentina
1 - 0
Lecce

Gallo (27' og.)
Julio (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Blin (25'), Maleh (72'), Umtiti (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sivasspor 1-4 Fiorentina
Thursday, March 16 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Lecce 0-2 Torino
Sunday, March 12 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 2-1 Lecce

Recent trends suggest there should be only one winner on Sunday, as Fiorentina are flying high and Lecce are at a low. While it may not be quite so straightforward given the Viola's European exertions, their forwards are full of confidence now - a total contrast with those of the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 67.19%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 13.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawLecce
67.19% (0.67899999999999 0.68) 19.55% (-0.337 -0.34) 13.25% (-0.348 -0.35)
Both teams to score 48.3% (0.135 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.18% (0.688 0.69)44.81% (-0.695 -0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.82% (0.66 0.66)67.17% (-0.667 -0.67)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.62% (0.396 0.4)12.38% (-0.402 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.76% (0.828 0.83)38.24% (-0.834 -0.83)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.12% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)44.87% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.17% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)80.83% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 67.19%
    Lecce 13.25%
    Draw 19.55%
FiorentinaDrawLecce
2-0 @ 12.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 11.6% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 8.44% (0.137 0.14)
3-1 @ 6.77% (0.092 0.09)
4-0 @ 4.41% (0.137 0.14)
4-1 @ 3.53% (0.102 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.03 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.84% (0.084 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.48% (0.064 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.42% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 67.19%
1-1 @ 9.3% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 5.55% (-0.168 -0.17)
2-2 @ 3.89% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 19.55%
0-1 @ 4.45% (-0.146 -0.15)
1-2 @ 3.73% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-2 @ 1.78% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.04% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 13.25%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Lecce

Fiorentina
87.2%
Draw
10.6%
Lecce
2.1%
47
Head to Head
Oct 17, 2022 7.45pm
Jul 15, 2020 8.45pm
Nov 30, 2019 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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