Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 24

Feb 27, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi

Hellas Verona
0 - 3
Fiorentina

Doig (24'), Faraoni (34'), Braaf (82')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Barak (12'), Cabral (38'), Biraghi (89')
Julio (27'), Barak (29'), Amrabat (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Hellas Verona and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hellas Verona

All competitions

Last Game: Roma 1-0 Hellas Verona
Sunday, February 19 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Fiorentina 3-2 Braga
Thursday, February 23 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Hellas Verona 1-1 Fiorentina

The ultimate 'Jekyll and Hyde' team, in terms of their contrasting fortunes in Serie A and in Europe, Fiorentina can barely buy a goal domestically yet score freely in the Conference League. Up against Verona's once-suspect defence, which has improved dramatically since the winter break, they are likely to find the going tough so may take only one point back to Florence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.11%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (8.85%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
Hellas Verona	Draw	Fiorentina
26.62% ( -0.06)	26.28% ( -0.09)	47.11% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 49.42% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.45% (

0.3)

54.55% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.1% (

0.25)

75.9% (

-0.25)

Hellas Verona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.3% (

0.11)

35.7% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.53% (

0.11)

72.47% (

-0.11)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.85% (

0.2)

23.15% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.98% (

0.3)

57.03% (

-0.29)

Score Analysis

Hellas Verona 26.62%

Fiorentina 47.11%

Draw 26.27%

Hellas Verona	Draw	Fiorentina
1-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 6.42% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.51% ( -0) Other @ 1.98% Total : 26.62%	1-1 @ 12.45% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.27%	0-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 9.11% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 8.85% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.44% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 4.31% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.63% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.81% Total : 47.11%