Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 23

Feb 19, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
1 - 1
Empoli

Cabral (85')
Martinez (70')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Cambiaghi (28')
Akpa-Akpro (27'), Ismajli (45+4'), Cacace (60'), Baldanzi (64'), Bandinelli (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Braga 0-4 Fiorentina
Thursday, February 16 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Empoli

All competitions

Last Game: Empoli 2-2 Spezia
Saturday, February 11 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Fiorentina 2-1 Empoli

Although Fiorentina may be a little fatigued given that there is less than a 72 hour turnaround between facing Braga on Thursday and this match, they should have taken huge confidence from their significant victory in Portugal. Italiano will be targeting maximum points from their next two fixtures to move further away from the relegation zone, and we expect the Violets to complete the first step of that against Empoli on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 72.11%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 10.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (3.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Empoli
72.11% ( 1.25)	17.04% ( -0.68)	10.85% ( -0.58)

Both teams to score 49.23% (

0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.45% (

1.56)

39.54% (

-1.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.11% (

1.61)

61.89% (

-1.61)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.36% (

0.72)

9.64% (

-0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.81% (

1.66)

32.18% (

-1.66)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.48% (

-0)

45.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.65% (

-0.01)

81.34% (

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 72.1%

Empoli 10.85%

Draw 17.04%

Fiorentina	Draw	Empoli
2-0 @ 12% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 10.26% ( -0.42) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.16) 4-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.28) 4-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.21) 5-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.16) 4-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.09) 6-0 @ 1% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.7% Total : 72.1%	1-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.34) 0-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.86% Total : 17.04%	0-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.89% Total : 10.85%