MX23RW : Sunday, November 10 16:49:39| >> :600:194215:194215:
Fiorentina logo
Conference League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 9, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
1 - 0
Sivasspor

Barak (69')
Amrabat (58'), Jovic (62'), Cabral (83'), Biraghi (90+1'), Dodo (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Saiz (42'), Cofie (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Fiorentina and Sivasspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Fiorentina 3-0 Sivasspor

Fiorentina are one of the favourites to win the entire tournament let alone a home tie against a struggling Turkish team still piecing itself back together after the natural disasters in the area. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 68.16%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Sivasspor had a probability of 13.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 1-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Sivasspor win it was 1-2 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawSivasspor
68.16% (0.007000000000005 0.01) 18.22% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 13.62% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Both teams to score 54.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.2% (0.015000000000001 0.02)37.8% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.95% (0.016000000000005 0.02)60.05% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)10.13% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.67% (0.013000000000005 0.01)33.33% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Sivasspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.13% (0.0020000000000024 0)39.87% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.47% (0.0020000000000024 0)76.53% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 68.16%
    Sivasspor 13.62%
    Draw 18.22%
FiorentinaDrawSivasspor
2-0 @ 10.58%
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 9.25% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.08%
3-1 @ 7.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 4.63% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 4.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 2.12% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 1.96% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.95% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.77%
Total : 68.16%
1-1 @ 8.5% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.48%
0-0 @ 4.04% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 18.22%
1-2 @ 3.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-1 @ 3.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 1.71% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.37%
1-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 13.62%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Sivasspor

Fiorentina
86.6%
Draw
9.8%
Sivasspor
3.7%
82
rhs 2.0
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