MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 23:36:18| >> :300:86500:86500:
Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 24
Mar 4, 2023 at 10.30am UK
Vefa Stadı

Karagumruk
4 - 3
Sivasspor

Diagne (45+4', 53', 80'), Ozdoyev (69')
Borini (34'), Bertolacci (73'), Ricci (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Caicedo (27'), James (90+1', 90+6')
Goutas (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fatih Karagumruk and Sivasspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fatih Karagumruk

All competitions
Last Game: Ankaragucu 0-2 Karagumruk
Saturday, February 4 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig

Sivasspor

All competitions
Last Game: Sivasspor 1-0 Besiktas
Saturday, February 4 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Fatih Karagumruk 2-1 Sivasspor

 Karagumruk have not kept a clean sheet at the Vefa Stadium in their last five Super Lig games, and that run is expected to continue against this weekend's opponents, who have scored in five successive away fixtures. With Pirlo's men possessing more firepower up front, they should edge proceedings with both sides finding the back of the net. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 46.83%. A win for Sivasspor had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Sivasspor win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.

Result
Fatih KaragumrukDrawSivasspor
46.83% (0.353 0.35) 24.19% (0.15 0.15) 28.97% (-0.508 -0.51)
Both teams to score 57.75% (-0.859 -0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.56% (-0.983 -0.98)44.44% (0.977 0.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.18% (-0.959 -0.96)66.81% (0.952 0.95)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.89% (-0.245 -0.25)19.11% (0.241 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.26% (-0.405 -0.41)50.74% (0.4 0.4)
Sivasspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.4% (-0.846 -0.85)28.6% (0.841 0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.6% (-1.07 -1.07)64.4% (1.066 1.07)
Score Analysis
    Fatih Karagumruk 46.83%
    Sivasspor 28.97%
    Draw 24.19%
Fatih KaragumrukDrawSivasspor
2-1 @ 9.37% (0.035 0.04)
1-0 @ 9.05% (0.311 0.31)
2-0 @ 7.48% (0.201 0.2)
3-1 @ 5.17% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.13% (0.079 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.24% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.14% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.71% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 46.83%
1-1 @ 11.32% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.86% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-0 @ 5.47% (0.228 0.23)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.19%
1-2 @ 7.09% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
0-1 @ 6.84% (0.129 0.13)
0-2 @ 4.28% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.96% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.109 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 28.97%

How you voted: Karagumruk vs Sivasspor

Fatih Karagumruk
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
Sivasspor
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 5.15pm
Sivasspor
0-0
Karagumruk

Ciftci (12')
Ciftci (88')

Dursun (44'), Borini (45+1')
Feb 20, 2022 1pm
Karagumruk
1-0
Sivasspor
Borini (68' pen.)
Durmaz (87'), Bekaroglu (90+1')

Cofie (44'), Ciftci (67'), Gradel (90'), Atakan Kesgin (90+3')
Sep 25, 2021 11.30am
Sivasspor
4-0
Karagumruk
Kayode (1'), Goutas (50'), Felix (56'), Gradel (71')

Zukanovic (90+3')
Mar 13, 2021 10.30am
Sivasspor
1-0
Karagumruk
Arslan (45+1')
Fajr (63')

Biglia (69')
Nov 21, 2020 10.30am
Karagumruk
1-1
Sivasspor
Sabo (86')
Biglia (32'), Ndao (78'), Altinay (90+2'), Sabo (90+6')
Kone (44')
Camara (45+1'), Cofie (83'), Samassa (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray11101032112131
2Fenerbahce118212791826
3Samsunspor1281324131125
4EyupsporEyupspor126421811722
5BesiktasBesiktas116321910921
6Goztepe SKGoztepe SK115331913618
7SivassporSivasspor125251720-317
8Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul114431714316
9KasimpasaKasimpasa123541619-314
10KonyasporKonyaspor124261420-614
11AntalyasporAntalyaspor124261524-914
12Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor114161019-913
13TrabzonsporTrabzonspor112631214-212
14GaziantepGaziantep113351518-312
15KayserisporKayserispor112631116-512
16Bodrumspor123271016-611
17AlanyasporAlanyaspor11245914-510
18Hatayspor111371018-86
19Adana Demirspor11029925-162
> Turkish Super Lig Full Table


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