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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 22
Jan 31, 2023 at 5pm UK
Vefa Stadı
Besiktas

Karagumruk
1 - 1
Besiktas

Ozdoyev (49')
Biraschi (63')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tosun (33')
Fernandes (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fatih Karagumruk and Besiktas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alanyaspor 2-2 Karagumruk
Sunday, January 22 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Besiktas 3-0 Alanyaspor
Friday, January 27 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Fatih Karagumruk 2-3 Besiktas

Given that both teams have scored at least two goals in six of Karagumruk's past eight Super Lig games, this is destined to be a high-scoring affair between two resurgent teams. The hosts have drawn each of their last three league matches, while Besiktas have won each of their previous five, so the Black Eagles are likely to claim all three points on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 48.14%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 29.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.47%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
Fatih KaragumrukDrawBesiktas
29.02% (0.312 0.31) 22.84% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08) 48.14% (-0.238 -0.24)
Both teams to score 62.57% (0.51900000000001 0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.89% (0.584 0.58)38.11% (-0.588 -0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.62% (0.621 0.62)60.37% (-0.624 -0.62)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.63% (0.5 0.5)25.36% (-0.504 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.84% (0.682 0.68)60.15% (-0.686 -0.69)
Besiktas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.83% (0.131 0.13)16.16% (-0.135 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.38% (0.241 0.24)45.62% (-0.246 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Fatih Karagumruk 29.02%
    Besiktas 48.14%
    Draw 22.83%
Fatih KaragumrukDrawBesiktas
2-1 @ 7.03% (0.038 0.04)
1-0 @ 5.62% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-0 @ 3.86% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 3.22% (0.063 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.93% (0.071 0.07)
3-0 @ 1.76% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.037 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 29.02%
1-1 @ 10.24% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 6.41% (0.064 0.06)
0-0 @ 4.1% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.78% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.83%
1-2 @ 9.34% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-1 @ 7.47% (-0.177 -0.18)
0-2 @ 6.81% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-3 @ 5.67% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 4.14% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-3 @ 3.89% (0.056 0.06)
1-4 @ 2.59% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.88% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.77% (0.033 0.03)
1-5 @ 0.94% (0.0079999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 48.14%

How you voted: Karagumruk vs Besiktas

Fatih Karagumruk
12.2%
Draw
22.0%
Besiktas
65.9%
41
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2022 7.45pm
Besiktas
4-1
Karagumruk
Weghorst (17'), N'Koudou (34'), Muleka (50'), Rosier (90')
Muleka (40'), Vardar (42'), Ucan (67')
Diagne (53')
Ozdoyev (7'), Diagne (43'), Erkin (90+2')
Jan 18, 2022 5pm
Aug 28, 2021 7.45pm
Besiktas
1-0
Karagumruk
Teixeira (30')
Ucan (36'), Destanoglu (90+4')
Ucan (48')

Oztumer (14'), Durmaz (16'), Zukanovic (42'), Tatli (61')
May 11, 2021 6.30pm
Besiktas
1-2
Karagumruk
Bertolacci (39'), Ghezzal (54'), Borini (80')
Ghezzal (44'), Bertolacci (46'), Zukanovic (56'), Borini (61'), Welinton (64'), Ndao (85'), Ahmetoglu (90+2'), Castro (90+3')
Zukanovic (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Steelers
@
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray11101032112131
2Fenerbahce118212791826
3Samsunspor1281324131125
4EyupsporEyupspor126421811722
5BesiktasBesiktas116321910921
6Goztepe SKGoztepe SK115331913618
7SivassporSivasspor125251720-317
8Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul114431714316
9KasimpasaKasimpasa123541619-314
10KonyasporKonyaspor124261420-614
11AntalyasporAntalyaspor124261524-914
12Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor114161019-913
13TrabzonsporTrabzonspor112631214-212
14GaziantepGaziantep113351518-312
15KayserisporKayserispor112631116-512
16Bodrumspor123271016-611
17AlanyasporAlanyaspor11245914-510
18Hatayspor111371018-86
19Adana Demirspor11029925-162


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