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Serie A
Fiorentina logo
Serie A | Gameweek 25
Mar 4, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Milan logo

Fiorentina
2 - 1
AC Milan

Gonzalez (49' pen.), Jovic (87')
Cabral (29'), Ikone (59'), Gonzalez (70'), Davis Nicolas (79+79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hernandez (90+5')
Thiaw (11'), Messias (35'), Kalulu (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-3 Fiorentina
Monday, February 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 2-0 Atalanta
Sunday, February 26 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 1-2 AC Milan

 Fiorentina (387) and Milan (351) are among the top four Serie A sides in terms of shots attempted this season, so there could be plenty of goalmouth action on Saturday evening - even if the visitors have tightened up at the back. Both teams should score at the Franchi, but Milan can gain revenge for a 4-3 reverse on their most recent visit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 44%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawAC Milan
44% (-1.345 -1.35) 24.89% (0.42 0.42) 31.11% (0.922 0.92)
Both teams to score 56.63% (-0.95 -0.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.53% (-1.46 -1.46)46.47% (1.458 1.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.25% (-1.387 -1.39)68.75% (1.384 1.38)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.84% (-1.195 -1.2)21.16% (1.193 1.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.97% (-1.891 -1.89)54.02% (1.889 1.89)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.83% (-0.11500000000001 -0.12)28.17% (0.113 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.14% (-0.144 -0.14)63.86% (0.142 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 44%
    AC Milan 31.11%
    Draw 24.88%
FiorentinaDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 9.26% (0.232 0.23)
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.133 -0.13)
2-0 @ 7.19% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.72% (-0.248 -0.25)
3-0 @ 3.72% (-0.184 -0.18)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.167 -0.17)
4-1 @ 1.83% (-0.169 -0.17)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.128 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.11 -0.11)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 44%
1-1 @ 11.72% (0.25 0.25)
0-0 @ 5.96% (0.359 0.36)
2-2 @ 5.77% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.88%
0-1 @ 7.55% (0.432 0.43)
1-2 @ 7.43% (0.141 0.14)
0-2 @ 4.78% (0.26 0.26)
1-3 @ 3.14% (0.05 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.02% (0.103 0.1)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 31.11%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs AC Milan

Fiorentina
17.4%
Draw
12.2%
AC Milan
70.4%
115
Head to Head
Nov 13, 2022 5pm
AC Milan
2-1
Fiorentina
Leao (2'), Milenkovic (90+2' og.)
Diaz (21')
Barak (28')
May 1, 2022 2pm
AC Milan
1-0
Fiorentina
Leao (82')
Bennacer (88')

Maleh (2'), Venuti (42'), Martinez (72')
Nov 20, 2021 7.45pm
Fiorentina
4-3
AC Milan
Duncan (15'), Saponara (45+1'), Vlahovic (60', 85')
Castrovilli (90+5')
Ibrahimovic (62', 67'), Venuti (90+6' og.)
Hernandez (90+5')
Mar 21, 2021 5pm
Fiorentina
2-3
AC Milan
Pulgar (17'), Ribery (51')
Prandelli (65'), Kouame (89')
Ibrahimovic (9'), Diaz (57'), Calhanoglu (72')
Calhanoglu (41'), Dalot (47'), Meite (90+2')
Nov 29, 2020 2pm
AC Milan
2-0
Fiorentina
Romagnoli (17'), Kessie (28' pen.)
Rebic (45+2'), Kessie (71')

Pezzella (25'), Castrovilli (52'), Biraghi (86'), Amrabat (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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