Champions League

Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg

Feb 14, 2023 at 8pm UK

San Siro

AC Milan
1 - 0
Spurs

(AC Milan win 1-0 on aggregate)

Diaz (7')
Tonali (80'), Hernandez (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Romero (48'), Dier (63')

Harry Kane hails "outstanding" Pape Matar Sarr, Oliver Skipp performances

Tottenham Hotspur striker Harry Kane hails the "outstanding" performances of Pape Matar Sarr and Oliver Skipp in Tuesday's Champions League loss to AC Milan.

Feb 15, 12:44

AC Milan's Brahim Diaz celebrates scoring their first goal with Theo Hernandez on February 14, 2023

Cristian Romero admits Tottenham Hotspur "lack solidity" after AC Milan defeat

Tottenham Hotspur centre-back Cristian Romero admits that his side "lack solidity" following their 1-0 Champions League defeat to AC Milan.

Feb 15, 10:34

Antonio Conte in charge of Tottenham Hotspur in January 2023

Tottenham Hotspur manager Antonio Conte opens door to future Italy return

Tottenham Hotspur manager Antonio Conte insists that his door will always be open to a return to Italy after his side's 1-0 Champions League loss to AC Milan.

Feb 15, 10:06

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: AC Milan 1-0 Torino
Friday, February 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Tottenham Hotspur

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Leicester 4-1 Spurs
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 35.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AC Milan in this match.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Tottenham Hotspur
38.38% ( -0.08)	25.63% ( 0.02)	35.99% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 55.48% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.43% (

-0.09)

48.56% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.31% (

-0.08)

70.69% (

0.07)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.15% (

-0.08)

24.84% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.55% (

-0.12)

59.44% (

0.11)

Tottenham Hotspur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.82% (

-0.01)

26.18% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.73% (

-0.01)

61.26% (

Score Analysis

AC Milan 38.38%

Tottenham Hotspur 35.99%

Draw 25.62%

AC Milan	Draw	Tottenham Hotspur
1-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.79% Total : 38.38%	1-1 @ 12.13% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.62%	0-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.63% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.3% Total : 35.99%