MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 13:37:11| >> :300:86500:86500:
Milan logo
Atalanta logo
Bologna logo
Cagliari logo
Empoli logo
Fiorentina logo
Genoa logo
Hellas Verona logo
Inter logo
Juventus logo
Lazio logo
Lecce logo
Monza
Napoli logo
Parma logo
Roma logo
Torino logo
Udinese logo
Venezia
Monza
Serie A | Gameweek 23
Feb 18, 2023 at 5pm UK
U-Power Stadium
Milan logo

Monza
0 - 1
AC Milan


Santos (27'), Birindelli (54'), Rovella (62'), Pepin (63')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Messias (31')
Krunic (34'), Thiaw (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Monza and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bologna 0-1 Monza
Sunday, February 12 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 1-0 Spurs
Tuesday, February 14 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Monza 1-1 AC Milan

Monza are now a tough nut to crack, so even a recent return to something like normality for Milan may not see them in shape to end their hosts' unbeaten run. Lacking their old vibrancy up front, and with Rafael Leao still struggling, the champions could have to settle for a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for Monza had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Monza win was 2-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
MonzaDrawAC Milan
33.51% (0.048999999999999 0.05) 24.11% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 42.37% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Both teams to score 60.33% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.94% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)42.05% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.54% (-0.064 -0.06)64.45% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)24.54% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.98% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)59.01% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.95% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)20.05% (0.053999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.73% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)52.26% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Monza 33.51%
    AC Milan 42.37%
    Draw 24.11%
MonzaDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 7.8% (0.008 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.91% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.86% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.65% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.27% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 33.51%
1-1 @ 11.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.27% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 4.92% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.57% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.11%
1-2 @ 8.93% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.91% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.35% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 4.78% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.4% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.36% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.92% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.37% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.35% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 42.37%

How you voted: Monza vs AC Milan

Monza
20.0%
Draw
21.1%
AC Milan
58.9%
90
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 5pm
AC Milan
4-1
Monza
Diaz (16', 41'), Origi (65'), Leao (84')
Origi (31')
Ranocchia (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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