Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 23

Feb 18, 2023 at 5pm UK

U-Power Stadium

Monza
0 - 1
AC Milan

Santos (27'), Birindelli (54'), Rovella (62'), Pepin (63')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Messias (31')
Krunic (34'), Thiaw (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Monza and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monza

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Bologna 0-1 Monza
Sunday, February 12 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: AC Milan 1-0 Spurs
Tuesday, February 14 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Monza are now a tough nut to crack, so even a recent return to something like normality for Milan may not see them in shape to end their hosts' unbeaten run. Lacking their old vibrancy up front, and with Rafael Leao still struggling, the champions could have to settle for a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for Monza had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Monza win was 2-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
Monza	Draw	AC Milan
33.51% ( 0.05)	24.11% ( 0.01)	42.37% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 60.33% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.94% (

-0.06)

42.05% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.54% (

-0.06)

64.45% (

0.06)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.46% (

-0)

24.54% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.98% (

-0)

59.01% (

-0)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.95% (

-0.06)

20.05% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.73% (

-0.09)

52.26% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Monza 33.51%

AC Milan 42.37%

Draw 24.11%

Monza	Draw	AC Milan
2-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.65% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.77% Total : 33.51%	1-1 @ 11.1% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.11%	1-2 @ 8.93% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.35% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.78% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.01% Total : 42.37%