Serie A | Gameweek 33
May 3, 2023 at 5pm UK
Allianz Stadium
We said: Juventus 1-0 Lecce
Though Juventus lost their defensive solidity in April, they can start a new month by shutting out goal-shy Lecce and getting back on the winning trail. It might not make pleasant viewing, but Max Allegri's men will grind out victory to stay one step ahead of their rivals in the top-four race.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 59.33% . A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 17.1% .
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.93%) and 2-1 (9.51%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%) , while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (6.44%) . The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
Result Juventus Draw Lecce 59.33% ( 2.67) 23.57% ( -0.9) 17.1% ( -1.77)
Both teams to score 45.06% ( -0.54)
46% ( 0.95) 54% ( -0.95)
24.56% ( 0.79) 75.44% ( -0.79)
82.06% ( 1.35) 17.94% ( -1.35)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 51.23% ( 2.27) 48.76% ( -2.27)
54.92% ( -1.59) 45.08% ( 1.59)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 19% ( -1.29) 80.99% ( 1.29)
Juventus 59.32%
Lecce 17.1%
Draw 23.57%
Juventus Draw Lecce 1-0 @ 13.89% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 11.93% ( 0.58) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.61) 3-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.26) 4-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.37) 4-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.17) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.31% Total : 59.32% 1-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.42) 0-0 @ 8.09% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.63% Total : 23.57% 0-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.54) 1-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.38) 0-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.34) 1-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.5% Total : 17.1%
How you voted: Juventus vs Lecce
91
rhs 2.0
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