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Venezia
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Serie A | Gameweek 33
May 3, 2023 at 5pm UK
Allianz Stadium
Lecce logo

Juventus
2 - 1
Lecce

Paredes (15'), Vlahovic (40')
Paredes (55'), Bremer (76')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Ceesay (37' pen.)
Umtiti (48'), Pezzella (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Juventus and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bologna 1-1 Juventus
Sunday, April 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 1-0 Udinese
Friday, April 28 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Juventus 1-0 Lecce

Though Juventus lost their defensive solidity in April, they can start a new month by shutting out goal-shy Lecce and getting back on the winning trail. It might not make pleasant viewing, but Max Allegri's men will grind out victory to stay one step ahead of their rivals in the top-four race. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 59.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 17.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.93%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
JuventusDrawLecce
59.33% (2.673 2.67) 23.57% (-0.901 -0.9) 17.1% (-1.771 -1.77)
Both teams to score 45.06% (-0.538 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46% (0.948 0.95)54% (-0.947 -0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.56% (0.788 0.79)75.44% (-0.786 -0.79)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.06% (1.354 1.35)17.94% (-1.352 -1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.23% (2.274 2.27)48.76% (-2.274 -2.27)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.92% (-1.586 -1.59)45.08% (1.587 1.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19% (-1.292 -1.29)80.99% (1.293 1.29)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 59.32%
    Lecce 17.1%
    Draw 23.57%
JuventusDrawLecce
1-0 @ 13.89% (0.09 0.09)
2-0 @ 11.93% (0.58 0.58)
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.053999999999998 0.05)
3-0 @ 6.84% (0.606 0.61)
3-1 @ 5.45% (0.26 0.26)
4-0 @ 2.94% (0.374 0.37)
4-1 @ 2.34% (0.206 0.21)
3-2 @ 2.17% (0.011 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.01% (0.165 0.17)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 59.32%
1-1 @ 11.07% (-0.42 -0.42)
0-0 @ 8.09% (-0.304 -0.3)
2-2 @ 3.79% (-0.148 -0.15)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 23.57%
0-1 @ 6.44% (-0.543 -0.54)
1-2 @ 4.41% (-0.375 -0.38)
0-2 @ 2.57% (-0.341 -0.34)
1-3 @ 1.17% (-0.157 -0.16)
2-3 @ 1.01% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 17.1%

How you voted: Juventus vs Lecce

Juventus
90.1%
Draw
7.7%
Lecce
2.2%
91
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 5pm
gameweek 12
Lecce
0-1
Juventus
Fagioli (73')
Miretti (12')
Jun 26, 2020 8.45pm
Oct 26, 2019 2pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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