Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 30

Apr 16, 2023 at 5pm UK

MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

Sassuolo
1 - 0
Juventus

Defrel (64')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Chiesa (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Sassuolo and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sassuolo

All competitions

Last Game: Hellas Verona 2-1 Sassuolo
Saturday, April 8 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Juventus

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Juventus 1-0 Sporting Lisbon
Thursday, April 13 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Sassuolo 0-1 Juventus

A flood of goals before the international break has slowed to a trickle since their return, so Sassuolo should find breaking down Juve's steadfast defence a serious challenge. Calcio's king of pragmatism, Max Allegri would happily take 1-0 wins from every game his team play, and they can record the same result in Reggio-Emilia this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 46.29%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 27.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Sassuolo	Draw	Juventus
27.42% ( 0.1)	26.29% ( 0.02)	46.29% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 49.97% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.88% (

-0.03)

54.12% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.46% (

-0.03)

75.54% (

0.03)

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.19% (

0.06)

34.81% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.46% (

0.06)

71.54% (

-0.06)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.66% (

-0.07)

23.34% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.69% (

-0.1)

57.3% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Sassuolo 27.42%

Juventus 46.29%

Draw 26.28%

Sassuolo	Draw	Juventus
1-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.32% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.14% Total : 27.42%	1-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( 0) Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.28%	0-1 @ 11.82% 1-2 @ 9.08% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.6% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.4% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.17% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 46.29%