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Serie A | Gameweek 25
Mar 6, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
Cremonese

Sassuolo
3 - 2
Cremonese

Lauriente (26'), Frattesi (41'), Bajrami (90+2')
Zortea (51')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Dessers (62', 83')
Afena-Gyan (44'), Vasquez (87'), Benassi (90+7'), Pickel (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Sassuolo and Cremonese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecce 0-1 Sassuolo
Saturday, February 25 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cremonese 2-1 Roma
Tuesday, February 28 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Sassuolo 2-1 Cremonese

Having finally ended their drought, Cremonese will now be seeking a first away victory of their league campaign - however, despite recent improvements, they have conceded at a rate of nearly two goals per game on the road. Sassuolo are also looking a lot more like their old selves, so can be expected to post a fourth win in six games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 26.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.

Result
SassuoloDrawCremonese
48.88% (-0.413 -0.41) 24.31% (0.0039999999999978 0) 26.81% (0.409 0.41)
Both teams to score 55.68% (0.348 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.58% (0.291 0.29)46.42% (-0.29 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.3% (0.273 0.27)68.7% (-0.27199999999999 -0.27)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.94% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)19.06% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.35% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)50.65% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Cremonese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.79% (0.47300000000001 0.47)31.21% (-0.472 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.45% (0.546 0.55)67.55% (-0.545 -0.55)
Score Analysis
    Sassuolo 48.88%
    Cremonese 26.81%
    Draw 24.31%
SassuoloDrawCremonese
1-0 @ 9.86% (-0.138 -0.14)
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.17% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-1 @ 5.26% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.52% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.06% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.18% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.87% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.27% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 48.88%
1-1 @ 11.48% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.95% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.54% (0.057 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.31%
0-1 @ 6.93% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 6.69% (0.079999999999999 0.08)
0-2 @ 4.03% (0.054 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.6% (0.064 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.05 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.57% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 26.81%

How you voted: Sassuolo vs Cremonese

Sassuolo
79.5%
Draw
11.5%
Cremonese
9.0%
122
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2022 11.30am
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta1391334161828
2Inter Milan1384131141728
3Napoli128221991026
4Fiorentina1274125101525
5Juventus136702171425
6Lazio1281325141125
7AC Milan125432014619
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma132651721-412
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona134091732-1512
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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