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Serie A | Gameweek 25
Mar 6, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
Cremonese

Sassuolo
3 - 2
Cremonese

Lauriente (26'), Frattesi (41'), Bajrami (90+2')
Zortea (51')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Dessers (62', 83')
Afena-Gyan (44'), Vasquez (87'), Benassi (90+7'), Pickel (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Sassuolo and Cremonese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecce 0-1 Sassuolo
Saturday, February 25 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cremonese 2-1 Roma
Tuesday, February 28 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Sassuolo 2-1 Cremonese

Having finally ended their drought, Cremonese will now be seeking a first away victory of their league campaign - however, despite recent improvements, they have conceded at a rate of nearly two goals per game on the road. Sassuolo are also looking a lot more like their old selves, so can be expected to post a fourth win in six games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 26.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.

Result
SassuoloDrawCremonese
48.88% (-0.413 -0.41) 24.31% (0.0039999999999978 0) 26.81% (0.409 0.41)
Both teams to score 55.68% (0.348 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.58% (0.291 0.29)46.42% (-0.29 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.3% (0.273 0.27)68.7% (-0.27199999999999 -0.27)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.94% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)19.06% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.35% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)50.65% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Cremonese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.79% (0.47300000000001 0.47)31.21% (-0.472 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.45% (0.546 0.55)67.55% (-0.545 -0.55)
Score Analysis
    Sassuolo 48.88%
    Cremonese 26.81%
    Draw 24.31%
SassuoloDrawCremonese
1-0 @ 9.86% (-0.138 -0.14)
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.17% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-1 @ 5.26% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.52% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.06% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.18% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.87% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.27% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 48.88%
1-1 @ 11.48% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.95% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.54% (0.057 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.31%
0-1 @ 6.93% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 6.69% (0.079999999999999 0.08)
0-2 @ 4.03% (0.054 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.6% (0.064 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.05 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.57% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 26.81%

How you voted: Sassuolo vs Cremonese

Sassuolo
79.5%
Draw
11.5%
Cremonese
9.0%
122
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2022 11.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta17131342192340
2Napoli17122326121438
3Inter Milan16114142152737
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1694329131631
6Juventus17710028131531
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese177282126-523
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli174761619-319
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como173681830-1215
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza171791523-810


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