Serie A | Gameweek 36
May 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
We said: Empoli 0-1 Juventus
As Empoli have scored at a rate below one-goal-per-game this season, Juventus can capitalise on their hosts' blunt attack and post another trademark low-scoring win. They may be injury-hit and suffering from the latest setback of a trying campaign, but Juve still boast sufficient firepower to get the job done.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 48.09% . A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 25.72% .
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.32% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (9.11%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%) , while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (8.39%) . The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood .
Result Empoli Draw Juventus 25.72% ( -0.07) 26.19% ( 0.18) 48.09% ( -0.1)
Both teams to score 48.97% ( -0.58)
45.22% ( -0.72) 54.78% ( 0.72)
23.91% ( -0.6) 76.09% ( 0.6)
63.43% ( -0.46) 36.57% ( 0.46)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 26.64% ( -0.47) 73.36% ( 0.47)
77.2% ( -0.35) 22.8% ( 0.35)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 43.49% ( -0.52) 56.51% ( 0.52)
Empoli 25.72%
Juventus 48.08%
Draw 26.19%
Empoli Draw Juventus 1-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.83% Total : 25.72% 1-1 @ 12.4% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.19% 0-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 9.17% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 9.11% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 4.52% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 4.49% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.88% Total : 48.08%
How you voted: Empoli vs Juventus
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rhs 2.0
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