MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 15:47:08| >> :300:86500:86500:
Milan logo
Atalanta logo
Bologna logo
Cagliari logo
Empoli logo
Fiorentina logo
Genoa logo
Hellas Verona logo
Inter logo
Juventus logo
Lazio logo
Lecce logo
Monza
Napoli logo
Parma logo
Roma logo
Torino logo
Udinese logo
Venezia
Serie A header desktop

Serie A
Empoli logo
Serie A | Gameweek 31
Apr 23, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Inter logo

Empoli
0 - 3
Inter Milan


Parisi (32')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lukaku (48', 76'), Martinez (88')
Barella (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Empoli

All competitions
Last Game: Cremonese 1-0 Empoli
Friday, April 14 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Inter Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 3-3 Benfica
Wednesday, April 19 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Empoli 0-1 Inter Milan

 With an eye on Wednesday's Coppa Italia tie and wearied by their Champions League exertions, Inter could be considered vulnerable to yet another league loss. However, they have recently ruled supreme at the Castellani and Empoli's lack of a goal threat will play straight into their hands. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 66.1%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 14.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.2%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
EmpoliDrawInter Milan
14.09% (0.055 0.05) 19.81% (0.035 0.04) 66.1% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Both teams to score 49.75% (0.029999999999994 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.91% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)44.09% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.53% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)66.47% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.84% (0.057000000000002 0.06)43.16% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.57% (0.046000000000003 0.05)79.43% (-0.048999999999992 -0.05)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.53% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)12.47% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.57% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)38.43% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 14.09%
    Inter Milan 66.09%
    Draw 19.81%
EmpoliDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 4.52% (0.014 0.01)
2-1 @ 3.96% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 1.9% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.15% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 1.11% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 14.09%
1-1 @ 9.42% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.38% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.12% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 19.81%
0-2 @ 11.66% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 11.2%
1-2 @ 9.8% (0.0040000000000013 0)
0-3 @ 8.09% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 6.8% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-4 @ 4.21% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 3.54% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.86% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-5 @ 1.75% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.49% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-5 @ 1.47% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 66.09%

How you voted: Empoli vs Inter Milan

Empoli
9.8%
Draw
15.7%
Inter Milan
74.5%
51
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 19
Inter Milan
0-1
Empoli

Skriniar (25'), Barella (68'), Dzeko (89')
Skriniar (40')
Baldanzi (66')
Henderson (30'), Akpa-Akpro (31'), Parisi (45+1')
May 6, 2022 5.45pm
gameweek 36
Inter Milan
4-2
Empoli
Romagnoli (40' og.), Martinez (45', 64'), Sanchez (90+4')
Martinez (64')
Pinamonti (5'), Asllani (28')
Jan 19, 2022 8pm
Final
Inter Milan
3-2
Empoli
Sanchez (13'), Ranocchia (90+1'), Sensi (104')
Vecino (54')
Bajrami (61'), Radu (76' og.)
Romagnoli (77')
Oct 27, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 10
Empoli
0-2
Inter Milan

Luperto (29')
Ricci (52')
D'Ambrosio (34'), Dimarco (66')
de Vrij (24'), Brozovic (59'), Gagliardini (75')
May 26, 2019 7.30pm
Inter Milan
2-1
Empoli
Balde (51'), Nainggolan (81')
Balde (52'), Perisic (72'), D'Ambrosio (90')
Balde (90')
Junior Traore (76')
Pajac (64'), Caputo (90')
Perucchini (90')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!