Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 34

May 6, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
2 - 0
Lazio

Bennacer (17'), Hernandez (29')
Calabria (42'), Thiaw (89')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Romagnoli (20'), Marusic (24'), Casale (60'), Pellegrini (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: AC Milan 1-1 Cremonese
Wednesday, May 3 at 8pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lazio

All competitions

Last Game: Lazio 2-0 Sassuolo
Wednesday, May 3 at 8pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lazio have won nine of their 16 away games in Serie A this season, but a trip to San Siro presents its own unique challenge, and they may have to settle for a draw on this occasion. Simply scoring against the Rome club is something to be celebrated, such is their clean-sheet record, but Milan need more than single-point returns if they are to finish in Italy's top four. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 52.34%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Lazio
52.34% ( -0.4)	25.46% ( 0.13)	22.2% ( 0.28)

Both teams to score 47.45% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.05% (

-0.2)

54.95% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.77% (

-0.16)

76.23% (

0.16)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.98% (

-0.25)

21.02% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.19% (

-0.39)

53.81% (

0.39)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.08% (

0.17)

39.92% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.42% (

0.15)

76.58% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

AC Milan 52.32%

Lazio 22.2%

Draw 25.46%

AC Milan	Draw	Lazio
1-0 @ 13.08% 2-0 @ 10.2% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.29% Total : 52.32%	1-1 @ 12.01% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.75% Total : 25.46%	0-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.35% Total : 22.2%