Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 32

Apr 30, 2023 at 11.30am UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Inter Milan
3 - 1
Lazio

Martinez (77', 90'), Gosens (83')
D'Ambrosio (35'), Bastoni (62')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Anderson (30')
Zaccagni (20'), Marusic (81'), Alberto (83'), Romagnoli (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Juventus
Wednesday, April 26 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lazio 0-1 Torino
Saturday, April 22 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Inter Milan 1-2 Lazio

After a 3-1 win in August's reverse fixture, Lazio can do the double over Inter, who have repeatedly stumbled in the league and seem distracted by their cup commitments. Maurizio Sarri is set to secure his 150th Serie A victory; taking his team one step closer to Champions League football in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 44.8%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 28.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter Milan	Draw	Lazio
44.8% ( -0.41)	26.74% ( 0.03)	28.45% ( 0.38)

Both teams to score 49.3% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.69% (

0.07)

55.31% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.47% (

0.06)

76.53% (

-0.06)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.42% (

-0.17)

24.58% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.93% (

-0.23)

59.07% (

0.23)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.37% (

0.33)

34.63% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.65% (

0.35)

71.35% (

-0.35)

Score Analysis

Inter Milan 44.8%

Lazio 28.45%

Draw 26.74%

Inter Milan	Draw	Lazio
1-0 @ 11.94% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.48% Total : 44.8%	1-1 @ 12.66% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.74%	0-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.19% Total : 28.45%