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Serie A
Spezia Calcio logo
Serie A | Gameweek 30
Apr 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Lazio logo

Spezia
0 - 3
Lazio


Gyasi (30'), Ampadu (33')
Ampadu (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Immobile (36' pen.), Anderson (52'), Antonio (89')
Lazzari (46'), Cataldi (71'), Antonio (81'), Romagnoli (83'), Cancellieri (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

All competitions
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-1 Spezia
Saturday, April 8 at 1.30pm in Serie A

Lazio

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 2-1 Juventus
Saturday, April 8 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Spezia 0-2 Lazio

 Lazio have comfortably swept aside Spezia in recent meetings, but a tighter affair could be in store on Friday considering the hosts' improvements over the last two weeks. Nevertheless, Lazio should have too much strength in the final third and will be regarded as firm favourites to come out on top at the Stadio Alberto Picco. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 53.09%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.97%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawLazio
22.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 24.71% (0.0030000000000001 0) 53.09% (-0.0089999999999932 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.91% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)52.09% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)73.81% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.7%38.3% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.94%75.06%
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)19.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.49% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)51.51% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 22.2%
    Lazio 53.08%
    Draw 24.7%
SpeziaDrawLazio
1-0 @ 7.2% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 5.63% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 3.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 1.8% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.47%
3-0 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 22.2%
1-1 @ 11.73%
0-0 @ 7.5% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 4.59%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 24.7%
0-1 @ 12.22%
0-2 @ 9.97% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 9.57% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-3 @ 5.42% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 5.2% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.5%
0-4 @ 2.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 53.08%

How you voted: Spezia vs Lazio

Spezia
11.7%
Draw
7.8%
Lazio
80.6%
103
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2022 11.30am
Lazio
4-0
Spezia
Zaccagni (12'), Romagnoli (24'), Milinkovic-Savic (61', 90+1')

Ampadu (1')
Apr 30, 2022 7.45pm
Spezia
3-4
Lazio
Amian (9'), Agudelo (35'), Hristov (56')
Manaj (64'), Amian (64'), Kovalenko (90+1')
Immobile (33' pen.), Provedel (54' og.), Milinkovic-Savic (68'), Acerbi (90')
Zaccagni (37')
Aug 28, 2021 5.30pm
Lazio
6-1
Spezia
Immobile (5', 15', 45+2'), Anderson (47'), Hysaj (70'), Alberto (85')
Verde (4')
Erlic (45+1'), Gyasi (49')
Amian (54')
Apr 3, 2021 2pm
Lazio
2-1
Spezia
Dec 5, 2020 2pm
Spezia
1-2
Lazio
N'Zola (64')
Bastoni (23'), Terzi (31'), Ricci (82')
Immobile (15'), Milinkovic-Savic (33')
Akpa-Akpro (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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