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Serie A
Udinese logo
Serie A | Gameweek 24
Feb 26, 2023 at 5pm UK
Dacia Arena
Spezia Calcio logo

Udinese
2 - 2
Spezia

Beto (22'), Pereyra (55')
Ehizibue (58'), Becao (62')
FT(HT: 1-1)
N'Zola (6', 72')
Nikolaou (76'), Shomurodov (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Udinese

All competitions
Last Game: Inter Milan 3-1 Udinese
Saturday, February 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Spezia

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 0-2 Juventus
Sunday, February 19 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Udinese 1-1 Spezia

 With both teams struggling for wins in recent times, we can envisage a share of the spoils between two sides lacking confidence at present. Udinese have drawn five of their last seven matches at home, while Spezia are likely to be desperate to impress their new manager by avoiding defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 59.51%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 18.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
UdineseDrawSpezia
59.51% (0.153 0.15) 22.01% (-0.159 -0.16) 18.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.3% (0.526 0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.34% (0.694 0.69)45.65% (-0.694 -0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.02% (0.657 0.66)67.98% (-0.657 -0.66)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.04% (0.283 0.28)14.96% (-0.284 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.63% (0.538 0.54)43.37% (-0.537 -0.54)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.5% (0.413 0.41)38.5% (-0.413 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.75% (0.392 0.39)75.25% (-0.393 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Udinese 59.51%
    Spezia 18.48%
    Draw 22%
UdineseDrawSpezia
1-0 @ 10.94% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-0 @ 10.39% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.92% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.58% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-1 @ 6.28% (0.073 0.07)
4-0 @ 3.13% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 3% (0.068 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.99% (0.064 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.43% (0.046 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.19% (0.024 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.13% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 59.51%
1-1 @ 10.44% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 5.76% (-0.172 -0.17)
2-2 @ 4.74% (0.061 0.06)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22%
0-1 @ 5.5% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-2 @ 4.98% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.62% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.59% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.51% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 18.48%

How you voted: Udinese vs Spezia

Udinese
72.9%
Draw
18.6%
Spezia
8.5%
59
Head to Head
Nov 8, 2022 5.30pm
Spezia
1-1
Udinese
Reca (33')
Lovric (43')
Arslan (17')
May 14, 2022 5pm
Udinese
2-3
Spezia
Molina (26'), Mari (90+4')
Nuytinck (18'), Pereyra (72'), Arslan (90+5')
Verde (35'), Gyasi (45+3'), Maggiore (47')
Gyasi (19'), Kiwior (80')
Sep 12, 2021 2pm
Spezia
0-1
Udinese

Nikolaou (14'), Motta (40')
Samardzic (89')
Pussetto (13'), Arslan (14')
Jan 31, 2021 11.30am
Spezia
0-1
Udinese

Pobega (23'), Vignali (39'), Bastoni (66'), Acampora (69'), Saponara (82')
Saponara (86')
De Paul (52' pen.)
Bonifazi (16'), De Paul (71'), De Maio (90')
De Paul (75')
Sep 30, 2020 5pm
Udinese
0-2
Spezia
Galabinov (29', 90+4')
Terzi (39'), Ferrer (79'), Ramos (86'), Farias (90+4')
Terzi (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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