Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 38.04%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 36.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Udinese in this match.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Udinese |
36.52% | 25.44% | 38.04% |
Both teams to score 56.17% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.3% | 47.7% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.11% | 69.89% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.53% | 25.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.7% | 60.3% |
Udinese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.36% | 24.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.85% | 59.15% |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Udinese |
1-0 @ 8.58% 2-1 @ 8.22% 2-0 @ 5.87% 3-1 @ 3.75% 3-0 @ 2.68% 3-2 @ 2.63% 4-1 @ 1.28% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.6% Total : 36.52% | 1-1 @ 12.02% 0-0 @ 6.28% 2-2 @ 5.76% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 8.79% 1-2 @ 8.42% 0-2 @ 6.16% 1-3 @ 3.93% 0-3 @ 2.88% 2-3 @ 2.69% 1-4 @ 1.38% 0-4 @ 1.01% 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.84% Total : 38.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 25 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 19 | 22 | 56 |
2 | Inter Milan | 24 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 58 | 23 | 35 | 54 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 54 | 26 | 28 | 51 |
4 | Lazio | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 46 |
5 | Juventus | 24 | 10 | 13 | 1 | 41 | 21 | 20 | 43 |
6 | Fiorentina | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 42 |
7 | AC Milan | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 24 | 12 | 41 |
8 | Bologna | 24 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 41 |
9 | Roma | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 34 |
10 | Udinese | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 37 | -8 | 30 |
11 | Torino | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 28 |
12 | Genoa | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 27 |
13 | CagliariCagliari | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 25 |
14 | Lecce | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 24 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 25 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 23 |
16 | Como | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 22 |
17 | Empoli | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 21 |
18 | Parma | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 20 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 16 |
20 | Monza | 24 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |