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Serie A
Spezia Calcio logo
Serie A | Gameweek 25
Mar 5, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Hellas Verona logo

Spezia
0 - 0
Hellas Verona


Reca (89'), Zurkowski (90+5')
Marchetti (82')
FT

Terracciano (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Hellas Verona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

All competitions
Last Game: Udinese 2-2 Spezia
Sunday, February 26 at 5pm in Serie A

Hellas Verona

All competitions
Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-3 Fiorentina
Monday, February 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Spezia 1-1 Hellas Verona

 Spezia (six) and Verona (five) are among the three lowest-scoring teams in the second half of Serie A matches this term. The Aquilotti are also the only side yet to score via a substitute; Hellas have netted only once through their subs - and not since August. A tight draw could be on the cards, then, with either side unable to change the game and take three precious points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawHellas Verona
34.64% (-0.793 -0.79) 26.23% (0.148 0.15) 39.13% (0.647 0.65)
Both teams to score 53.29% (-0.591 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.71% (-0.71 -0.71)51.29% (0.711 0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.88% (-0.622 -0.62)73.12% (0.624 0.62)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.72% (-0.821 -0.82)28.28% (0.823 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36% (-1.05 -1.05)64% (1.052 1.05)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.31% (0.025999999999996 0.03)25.69% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.39% (0.034999999999997 0.03)60.6% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 34.64%
    Hellas Verona 39.13%
    Draw 26.23%
SpeziaDrawHellas Verona
1-0 @ 9.18% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.88% (-0.135 -0.14)
2-0 @ 5.79% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-1 @ 3.32% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-0 @ 2.44% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.05% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 34.64%
1-1 @ 12.47% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 7.27% (0.205 0.21)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.23%
0-1 @ 9.87% (0.285 0.29)
1-2 @ 8.47% (0.058 0.06)
0-2 @ 6.71% (0.198 0.2)
1-3 @ 3.84% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.04% (0.092 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.42% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.3% (0.01 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.03% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 39.13%

How you voted: Spezia vs Hellas Verona

Spezia
50.0%
Draw
23.3%
Hellas Verona
26.7%
60
Head to Head
Nov 13, 2022 2pm
Hellas Verona
1-2
Spezia
Verdi (30')
N'Zola (53', 69')
Ampadu (32')
Jan 6, 2022 1.30pm
Spezia
1-2
Hellas Verona
Erlic (85')
Verde (75'), Agudelo (78'), Zoet (87')
Agudelo (87')
Caprari (59', 70')
Veloso (29'), Casale (45')
Oct 3, 2021 2pm
Hellas Verona
4-0
Spezia
Simeone (4'), Faraoni (15'), Caprari (42'), Bessa (71')
Caprari (28')

Ferrer (40')
Bastoni (82')
May 1, 2021 2pm
Hellas Verona
1-1
Spezia
Salcedo (46')
Zaccagni (15'), Dawidowicz (38'), Sturaro (40'), Ilic (69'), Tameze (71'), Faraoni (84')
Saponara (86')
N'Zola (13'), Chabot (50')
Jan 3, 2021 2pm
Spezia
0-1
Hellas Verona

Chabot (12'), Estevez (35'), Pobega (66'), Erlic (77'), Agoume (79')
Chabot (69')
Zaccagni (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta17131342192340
2Napoli17122326121438
3Inter Milan16114142152737
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1694329131631
6Juventus17710028131531
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese177282126-523
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli174761619-319
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como173681830-1215
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza171791523-810
> Serie A Full Table


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