Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 28

Apr 2, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stadio Alberto Picco

Spezia
1 - 1
Salernitana

Shomurodov (70')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Caldara (43' og.)
Coulibaly (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

All competitions

Last Game: Sassuolo 1-0 Spezia
Friday, March 17 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Salernitana

All competitions

Last Game: Salernitana 2-2 Bologna
Saturday, March 18 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Spezia 0-1 Salernitana

Without Nzola, it is hard to find a reliable source of goals in the Spezia squad, and that could be costly in this vital encounter. Salernitana have plenty of talent in attack as well as Dia, with the likes of Antonio Candreva and Krzysztof Piatek also available, and that could be what gives them the edge in this clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 36.21%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.76%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (11.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
Spezia	Draw	Salernitana
35.77%	28.03%	36.21%

Both teams to score 47.72%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.65%

58.35%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.04%

78.96%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.94%

31.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.62%

67.38%

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.22%

30.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.95%

67.05%

Score Analysis

Spezia 35.76%

Salernitana 36.21%

Draw 28.02%

Spezia	Draw	Salernitana
1-0 @ 11.17% 2-1 @ 7.7% 2-0 @ 6.54% 3-1 @ 3% 3-0 @ 2.55% 3-2 @ 1.77% Other @ 3.04% Total : 35.76%	1-1 @ 13.17% 0-0 @ 9.56% 2-2 @ 4.54% Other @ 0.76% Total : 28.02%	0-1 @ 11.26% 1-2 @ 7.76% 0-2 @ 6.64% 1-3 @ 3.05% 0-3 @ 2.61% 2-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 3.11% Total : 36.21%