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Serie A
Roma logo
Serie A | Gameweek 32
Apr 29, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Milan logo

Roma
1 - 1
AC Milan

Abraham (90+4')
Matic (24'), Ibanez (71'), Cristante (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Saelemaekers (90+7')
Tomori (16'), Krunic (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Roma and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 3-1 Roma
Monday, April 24 at 7.45pm in Serie A

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 2-0 Lecce
Sunday, April 23 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 1-1 AC Milan

 Though Milan were within touching distance of victory over Roma at San Siro, they ultimately had to settle for a point, and the sides may finish level again at the Olimpico. Neck-and-neck in the Serie A standings, they are closely matched this season - and the hosts are generally tough to beat on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 47.43%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 26.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
RomaDrawAC Milan
47.43% (0.051000000000002 0.05) 26.07% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 26.5% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 49.94% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.17% (0.048999999999999 0.05)53.83% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.71% (0.039999999999999 0.04)75.3% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.3% (0.045000000000002 0.05)22.69% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.65% (0.064 0.06)56.35% (-0.061 -0.06)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.61%35.4% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.84%72.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Roma 47.42%
    AC Milan 26.5%
    Draw 26.07%
RomaDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 11.91%
2-1 @ 9.18% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.83% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.54% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.37% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.68% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.62% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 47.42%
1-1 @ 12.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.03% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.07%
0-1 @ 8.34% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.33% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.5% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 26.5%

How you voted: Roma vs AC Milan

Roma
34.8%
Draw
28.9%
AC Milan
36.3%
135
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 17
AC Milan
2-2
Roma
Kalulu (30'), Pobega (77')
Leao (26'), Bennacer (62'), Tomori (68'), Tonali (72'), Pioli (73')
Ibanez (87'), Abraham (90+3')
Celik (9'), Zalewski (30'), Zaniolo (45'), Ibanez (82'), Matic (90+1'), Abraham (90+6')
Jan 6, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 20
AC Milan
3-1
Roma
Giroud (8' pen.), Messias (17'), Leao (81')
Hernandez (44'), Krunic (56')
Abraham (40')
Abraham (7'), Zaniolo (18'), Karsdorp (44'), Mancini (84')
Karsdorp (74'), Mancini (90+3')
Oct 31, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 11
Roma
1-2
AC Milan
El Shaarawy (90+3')
Zaniolo (7'), Karsdorp (24'), Mancini (49'), Veretout (90+7')
Ibrahimovic (26'), Kessie (57' pen.)
Ibrahimovic (27'), Hernandez (41'), Tomori (65'), Calabria (67'), Giroud (77'), Kessie (81')
Hernandez (66')
Feb 28, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 24
Roma
1-2
AC Milan
Veretout (50')
Fazio (42'), Mkhitaryan (80'), Pellegrini (89')
Kessie (42' pen.), Rebic (58')
Saelemaekers (46'), Calabria (85'), Castillejo (90+5')
Oct 26, 2020 7.45pm
gameweek 5
AC Milan
3-3
Roma
Ibrahimovic (2', 79' pen.), Saelemaekers (47')
Leao (70'), Ibrahimovic (75'), Hernandez (82')
Dzeko (14'), Veretout (71' pen.), Kumbulla (84')
Pedro (77'), Cristante (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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