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Serie A | Gameweek 32
Apr 29, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Milan logo

Roma
1 - 1
AC Milan

Abraham (90+4')
Matic (24'), Ibanez (71'), Cristante (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Saelemaekers (90+7')
Tomori (16'), Krunic (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Roma and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 3-1 Roma
Monday, April 24 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 1-1 AC Milan

Though Milan were within touching distance of victory over Roma at San Siro, they ultimately had to settle for a point, and the sides may finish level again at the Olimpico. Neck-and-neck in the Serie A standings, they are closely matched this season - and the hosts are generally tough to beat on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 47.43%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 26.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
RomaDrawAC Milan
47.43% (0.051000000000002 0.05) 26.07% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 26.5% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 49.94% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.17% (0.048999999999999 0.05)53.83% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.71% (0.039999999999999 0.04)75.3% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.3% (0.045000000000002 0.05)22.69% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.65% (0.064 0.06)56.35% (-0.061 -0.06)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.61%35.4% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.84%72.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Roma 47.42%
    AC Milan 26.5%
    Draw 26.07%
RomaDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 11.91%
2-1 @ 9.18% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.83% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.54% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.37% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.68% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.62% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 47.42%
1-1 @ 12.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.03% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.07%
0-1 @ 8.34% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.33% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.5% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 26.5%

How you voted: Roma vs AC Milan

Roma
34.8%
Draw
28.9%
AC Milan
36.3%
135
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 17
AC Milan
2-2
Roma
Kalulu (30'), Pobega (77')
Leao (26'), Bennacer (62'), Tomori (68'), Tonali (72'), Pioli (73')
Ibanez (87'), Abraham (90+3')
Celik (9'), Zalewski (30'), Zaniolo (45'), Ibanez (82'), Matic (90+1'), Abraham (90+6')
Jan 6, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 20
AC Milan
3-1
Roma
Giroud (8' pen.), Messias (17'), Leao (81')
Hernandez (44'), Krunic (56')
Abraham (40')
Abraham (7'), Zaniolo (18'), Karsdorp (44'), Mancini (84')
Karsdorp (74'), Mancini (90+3')
Oct 31, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 11
Roma
1-2
AC Milan
El Shaarawy (90+3')
Zaniolo (7'), Karsdorp (24'), Mancini (49'), Veretout (90+7')
Ibrahimovic (26'), Kessie (57' pen.)
Ibrahimovic (27'), Hernandez (41'), Tomori (65'), Calabria (67'), Giroud (77'), Kessie (81')
Hernandez (66')
Feb 28, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 24
Roma
1-2
AC Milan
Veretout (50')
Fazio (42'), Mkhitaryan (80'), Pellegrini (89')
Kessie (42' pen.), Rebic (58')
Saelemaekers (46'), Calabria (85'), Castillejo (90+5')
Oct 26, 2020 7.45pm
gameweek 5
AC Milan
3-3
Roma
Ibrahimovic (2', 79' pen.), Saelemaekers (47')
Leao (70'), Ibrahimovic (75'), Hernandez (82')
Dzeko (14'), Veretout (71' pen.), Kumbulla (84')
Pedro (77'), Cristante (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli118121881025
2Inter Milan1173125131224
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1171329141522
4Fiorentina116412291322
5Lazio1171324141022
6Juventus115601971221
7AC Milan105231711617
8Udinese115151416-216
9Bologna103611211115
10Torino114251516-114
11Empoli1135389-114
12Roma113441214-213
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona114071624-812
14CagliariCagliari11236919-109
15Genoa11236821-139
16Como112361222-109
17Parma111641417-39
18Monza111551014-48
19VeneziaVenezia112271019-98
20Lecce11227420-168


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