Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 47.43%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 26.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | AC Milan |
47.43% ( 0.05) | 26.07% ( -0.02) | 26.5% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 49.94% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.17% ( 0.05) | 53.83% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.71% ( 0.04) | 75.3% ( -0.04) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.3% ( 0.05) | 22.69% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.65% ( 0.06) | 56.35% ( -0.06) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.61% | 35.4% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.84% | 72.16% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | AC Milan |
1-0 @ 11.91% 2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.83% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0) Other @ 2.95% Total : 47.42% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0) Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.07% | 0-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.43% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.23% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0) Other @ 2.03% Total : 26.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 25 |
2 | Inter Milan | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 24 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 22 |
4 | Fiorentina | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 22 |
5 | Lazio | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 22 |
6 | Juventus | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 21 |
7 | AC Milan | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
8 | Udinese | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
9 | Bologna | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Torino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 14 |
11 | Empoli | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 13 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 12 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 9 |
15 | Genoa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 9 |
16 | Como | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Parma | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 9 |
18 | Monza | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 8 |
20 | Lecce | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 20 | -16 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |