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Serie A
Roma logo
Serie A | Gameweek 30
Apr 16, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Udinese logo

Roma
3 - 0
Udinese

Bove (37'), Pellegrini (55'), Abraham (90+1')
Mancini (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pereyra (35'), Success (40'), Ehizibue (45+4'), Thauvin (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Udinese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Feyenoord 1-0 Roma
Thursday, April 13 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Udinese

All competitions
Last Game: Udinese 2-2 Monza
Saturday, April 8 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Roma 1-0 Udinese

 While Roma have failed to win any of the last nine league games in which they have conceded at least once, keeping another clean sheet on Sunday would avert that problem. Even if they make a handful of changes, the capital club can help themselves to a slice of revenge against Udinese as they secure success by the slimmest of margins. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 57.58%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 18.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawUdinese
57.58% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03) 23.57% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 18.85% (0.035 0.04)
Both teams to score 48.14% (0.068999999999996 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.45% (0.058 0.06)51.55% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.65% (0.052999999999997 0.05)73.35% (-0.056000000000012 -0.06)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.32% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)17.68% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.69% (0.015999999999998 0.02)48.31% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.47% (0.076000000000001 0.08)41.53% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.98% (0.064999999999998 0.06)78.02% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Roma 57.57%
    Udinese 18.85%
    Draw 23.57%
RomaDrawUdinese
1-0 @ 12.72% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 11.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 6.37% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.6% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 2.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 57.57%
1-1 @ 11.18%
0-0 @ 7.34% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 23.57%
0-1 @ 6.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 4.91% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.84% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.44% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.25% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 18.85%

How you voted: Roma vs Udinese

Roma
68.1%
Draw
15.3%
Udinese
16.7%
72
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2022 7.45pm
Udinese
4-0
Roma
Udogie (5'), Samardzic (56'), Pereyra (75'), Lovric (82')

Dybala (45')
Mar 13, 2022 5pm
Udinese
1-1
Roma
Molina (15')
Deulofeu (26'), Makengo (86'), Becao (90+2')
Pellegrini (90+4' pen.)
Afena-Gyan (70'), Ibanez (88')
Sep 23, 2021 7.45pm
Roma
1-0
Udinese
Abraham (36')
Pellegrini (56'), Cristante (65'), Calafiori (66')
Pellegrini (90')

Walace (32')
Feb 14, 2021 11.30am
Roma
3-0
Udinese
Veretout (5', 25' pen.), Pedro (90+3')
Pellegrini (56'), Veretout (71')
Oct 3, 2020 7.45pm
Udinese
0-1
Roma

Okaka (79')
Pedro (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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