We said: Bologna 1-0 Udinese
Though Udinese have proved hard to beat on the road, Bologna's home record is the sixth-best in Serie A, and they should taste success at Dall'Ara once again. Despite lacking a distinct threat up front, the Rossoblu can snatch three points with a single strike in Sunday's early kickoff.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 43.22%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 29.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Udinese win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.