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Serie A
Torino logo
Serie A | Gameweek 29
Apr 8, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Roma logo

Torino
0 - 1
Roma


Schuurs (7'), Gineitis (78'), Milinkovic-Savic (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dybala (8' pen.)
El Shaarawy (11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Torino and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Torino

All competitions
Last Game: Sassuolo 1-1 Torino
Monday, April 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Roma

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Roma 3-0 Sampdoria
Sunday, April 2 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Torino 0-1 Roma

 The input of two tactically astute coaches is likely to result in a low-scoring game, with perhaps a single goal deciding the outcome. While the distraction of a European quarter-final looms large, Roma are back to full strength and boast more individual ability up front, so three more points could be coming their way. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 35.64%. A win for Torino had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.4%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Torino win was 1-0 (12.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Roma in this match.

Result
TorinoDrawRoma
35.22% (-0.228 -0.23) 29.14% (0.056000000000001 0.06) 35.64% (0.171 0.17)
Both teams to score 44.48% (-0.16 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.7% (-0.194 -0.19)62.29% (0.193 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.05% (-0.142 -0.14)81.95% (0.143 0.14)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.56% (-0.252 -0.25)33.44% (0.251 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.93% (-0.278 -0.28)70.07% (0.279 0.28)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.84% (0.012 0.01)33.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.23% (0.013000000000002 0.01)69.77% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Torino 35.21%
    Roma 35.64%
    Draw 29.13%
TorinoDrawRoma
1-0 @ 12.14%
2-1 @ 7.34% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.65% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.68% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.43% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.48% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 35.21%
1-1 @ 13.4% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.09% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 29.13%
0-1 @ 12.24% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 7.4% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.76% (0.053 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.49% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 35.64%

How you voted: Torino vs Roma

Torino
23.3%
Draw
13.7%
Roma
63.0%
73
Head to Head
Nov 13, 2022 2pm
Roma
1-1
Torino
Matic (90+4')
Linetty (55')
Buongiorno (48')
May 20, 2022 7.45pm
Torino
0-3
Roma

Ansaldi (21'), Buongiorno (78')
Abraham (33', 42'), Pellegrini (78' pen.)
Ibanez (20'), Shomurodov (76')
Nov 28, 2021 5pm
Roma
1-0
Torino
Abraham (32')
Ibanez (90+2'), Kumbulla (90+4')

Zima (54')
Apr 18, 2021 5pm
Torino
3-1
Roma
Sanabria (57'), Zaza (71'), Rincon (90+2')
Nkoulou (51'), Verdi (65')
Mayoral (3')
Diawara (74')
Diawara (85')
Dec 17, 2020 7.45pm
Roma
3-1
Torino
Mkhitaryan (27'), Veretout (43' pen.), Pellegrini (68')
Peres (21'), Mancini (23'), Villar (56'), Calafiori (90+2')
Belotti (73')
Singo (7'), Lyanco (78')
Singo (14')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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