Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 29

Apr 8, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino

Torino
0 - 1
Roma

Schuurs (7'), Gineitis (78'), Milinkovic-Savic (81')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Dybala (8' pen.)
El Shaarawy (11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Torino and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Torino

All competitions

Last Game: Sassuolo 1-1 Torino
Monday, April 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Roma 3-0 Sampdoria
Sunday, April 2 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

The input of two tactically astute coaches is likely to result in a low-scoring game, with perhaps a single goal deciding the outcome. While the distraction of a European quarter-final looms large, Roma are back to full strength and boast more individual ability up front, so three more points could be coming their way. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 35.64%. A win for Torino had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.4%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Torino win was 1-0 (12.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Roma in this match.

Result
Torino	Draw	Roma
35.22% ( -0.23)	29.14% ( 0.06)	35.64% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 44.48% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.7% (

-0.19)

62.29% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.05% (

-0.14)

81.95% (

0.14)

Torino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.56% (

-0.25)

33.44% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.93% (

-0.28)

70.07% (

0.28)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.84% (

0.01)

33.16% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.23% (

0.01)

69.77% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Torino 35.21%

Roma 35.64%

Draw 29.13%

Torino	Draw	Roma
1-0 @ 12.14% 2-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.49% Total : 35.21%	1-1 @ 13.4% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.09% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.59% Total : 29.13%	0-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.76% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 35.64%