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Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 19, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Napoli logo

Torino
0 - 4
Napoli


Gravillon (20')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Osimhen (9', 51'), Kvaratskhelia (35' pen.), Ndombele (68')
Ndombele (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Torino and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecce 0-2 Torino
Sunday, March 12 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 3-0 Frankfurt
Wednesday, March 15 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Torino 0-1 Napoli

Torino have conceded only eight goals at home, so Napoli's path to win 23 of the Serie A season is far from straightforward. As the Granata's defence generally stands firm under Ivan Juric, it could take a moment of magic to prise them open - but the Scudetto favourites are certainly capable of producing one of those. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 56.41%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Torino had a probability of 19.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.22%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Torino win it was 1-0 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
TorinoDrawNapoli
19.13% (0.099 0.1) 24.45% (0.152 0.15) 56.41% (-0.253 -0.25)
Both teams to score 46.08% (-0.27399999999999 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.46% (-0.44799999999999 -0.45)54.54% (0.446 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.11% (-0.373 -0.37)75.89% (0.372 0.37)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.05% (-0.151 -0.15)42.95% (0.148 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.75% (-0.126 -0.13)79.25% (0.125 0.13)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.77% (-0.268 -0.27)19.23% (0.265 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.07% (-0.442 -0.44)50.93% (0.44 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Torino 19.13%
    Napoli 56.4%
    Draw 24.45%
TorinoDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 6.98% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
2-1 @ 4.86% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 2.95% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.37% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.13% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 19.13%
1-1 @ 11.5% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.26% (0.142 0.14)
2-2 @ 4.01% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 24.45%
0-1 @ 13.61% (0.12 0.12)
0-2 @ 11.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.49% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
0-3 @ 6.17% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-3 @ 5.21% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-4 @ 2.54% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.15% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 56.4%

How you voted: Torino vs Napoli

Torino
8.1%
Draw
8.1%
Napoli
83.8%
99
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 2pm
May 7, 2022 2pm
Torino
0-1
Napoli

Vojvoda (55'), Singo (79')
Fabian (73')
Mertens (53'), Lozano (56'), Elmas (90+6')
Oct 17, 2021 5pm
Apr 26, 2021 5.30pm
Torino
0-2
Napoli

Verdi (45+1'), Mandragora (58')
Mandragora (86')
Bakayoko (11'), Osimhen (13')
Osimhen (68')
Dec 23, 2020 7.45pm
Napoli
1-1
Torino
Insigne (90+2')
Bakayoko (63'), Elmas (87'), Di Lorenzo (90+6')
Izzo (56')
Izzo (33'), Buongiorno (40'), Linetty (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli118121881025
2Inter Milan1173125131224
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1171329141522
4Fiorentina116412291322
5Lazio1171324141022
6Juventus115601971221
7AC Milan105231711617
8Udinese115151416-216
9Bologna103611211115
10Torino114251516-114
11Empoli1135389-114
12Roma113441214-213
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona114071624-812
14CagliariCagliari11236919-109
15Genoa11236821-139
16Como112361222-109
17Parma111641417-39
18Monza111551014-48
19VeneziaVenezia112271019-98
20Lecce11227420-168


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