Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 56.41%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Torino had a probability of 19.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.22%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Torino win it was 1-0 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Torino | Draw | Napoli |
19.13% ( 0.1) | 24.45% ( 0.15) | 56.41% ( -0.25) |
Both teams to score 46.08% ( -0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.46% ( -0.45) | 54.54% ( 0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.11% ( -0.37) | 75.89% ( 0.37) |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.05% ( -0.15) | 42.95% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.75% ( -0.13) | 79.25% ( 0.13) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.77% ( -0.27) | 19.23% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.07% ( -0.44) | 50.93% ( 0.44) |
Score Analysis |
Torino | Draw | Napoli |
1-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 4.86% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.37% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.84% Total : 19.13% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.68% Total : 24.45% | 0-1 @ 13.61% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 11.22% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.49% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 6.17% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 5.21% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 2.54% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.15% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.9% Total : 56.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 28 |
2 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
4 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
5 | Juventus | 13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 25 |
6 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
7 | AC Milan | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 19 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
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