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Serie A
Torino logo
Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 19, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Napoli logo

Torino
0 - 4
Napoli


Gravillon (20')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Osimhen (9', 51'), Kvaratskhelia (35' pen.), Ndombele (68')
Ndombele (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Torino and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Torino

All competitions
Last Game: Lecce 0-2 Torino
Sunday, March 12 at 11.30am in Serie A

Napoli

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 3-0 Frankfurt
Wednesday, March 15 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Torino 0-1 Napoli

 Torino have conceded only eight goals at home, so Napoli's path to win 23 of the Serie A season is far from straightforward. As the Granata's defence generally stands firm under Ivan Juric, it could take a moment of magic to prise them open - but the Scudetto favourites are certainly capable of producing one of those. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 56.41%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Torino had a probability of 19.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.22%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Torino win it was 1-0 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
TorinoDrawNapoli
19.13% (0.099 0.1) 24.45% (0.152 0.15) 56.41% (-0.253 -0.25)
Both teams to score 46.08% (-0.27399999999999 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.46% (-0.44799999999999 -0.45)54.54% (0.446 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.11% (-0.373 -0.37)75.89% (0.372 0.37)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.05% (-0.151 -0.15)42.95% (0.148 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.75% (-0.126 -0.13)79.25% (0.125 0.13)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.77% (-0.268 -0.27)19.23% (0.265 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.07% (-0.442 -0.44)50.93% (0.44 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Torino 19.13%
    Napoli 56.4%
    Draw 24.45%
TorinoDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 6.98% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
2-1 @ 4.86% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 2.95% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.37% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.13% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 19.13%
1-1 @ 11.5% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.26% (0.142 0.14)
2-2 @ 4.01% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 24.45%
0-1 @ 13.61% (0.12 0.12)
0-2 @ 11.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.49% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
0-3 @ 6.17% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-3 @ 5.21% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-4 @ 2.54% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.15% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 56.4%

How you voted: Torino vs Napoli

Torino
8.1%
Draw
8.1%
Napoli
83.8%
99
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 2pm
Napoli
3-1
Torino
Zambo Anguissa (6', 12'), Kvaratskhelia (37')
Sanabria (44')
Singo (70')
May 7, 2022 2pm
Torino
0-1
Napoli

Vojvoda (55'), Singo (79')
Fabian (73')
Mertens (53'), Lozano (56'), Elmas (90+6')
Oct 17, 2021 5pm
Napoli
1-0
Torino
Osimhen (81')
Koulibaly (79'), Zambo Anguissa (85')

Rodriguez (37'), Linetty (55'), Pobega (75'), Milinkovic-Savic (90+7')
Apr 26, 2021 5.30pm
Torino
0-2
Napoli

Verdi (45+1'), Mandragora (58')
Mandragora (86')
Bakayoko (11'), Osimhen (13')
Osimhen (68')
Dec 23, 2020 7.45pm
Napoli
1-1
Torino
Insigne (90+2')
Bakayoko (63'), Elmas (87'), Di Lorenzo (90+6')
Izzo (56')
Izzo (33'), Buongiorno (40'), Linetty (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta17131342192340
2Napoli17122326121438
3Inter Milan16114142152737
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1694329131631
6Juventus17710028131531
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese177282126-523
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli174761619-319
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como173681830-1215
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza171791523-810
> Serie A Full Table


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