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Udinese logo
Serie A | Gameweek 34
May 2, 2021 at 5pm UK
Stadio Friuli
Juventus logo

Udinese
1 - 2
Juventus

Molina (10')
Arslan (44'), Pereyra (55'), De Paul (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ronaldo (83' pen., 89')
Pirlo (90+1')

Preview: Udinese vs. Juventus - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

After another underwhelming result last weekend, outgoing champions Juventus meet Udinese on Sunday, with their top-four place still in serious jeopardy.

While the Bianconeri are bound for a nail-biting climax to the Serie A season - but with only Champions League qualification at stake, rather than their defence of the Scudetto - the hosts are close to confirming their survival in the top flight: sitting eight points above the drop zone.


Match preview

Juventus head coach Andrea Pirlo pictured in February 2021© Reuters

Under-presure coach Andrea Pirlo admitted that his inconsistent Juventus side put in another sub-par performance in their draw at lowly Fiorentina last weekend, as they again disappointed on their travels.

Though Alvaro Morata scored a second-half equaliser less than a minute after coming off the bench at Stadio Artemio Franchi, that was Juve's only shot on target in a game where they bossed the ball, but to little effect.

As Pirlo's future remains deeply uncertain, everything now rests on the Turin giants' qualification for next season's Champions League - an absolute minimum requirement which his team must fulfil. Recent results, though, have left third-placed Juventus locked on 66 points with Napoli and Milan going into the weekend's action, while Lazio continue to lurk close behind.

The Coppa Italia finalists, who face Atalanta in the showpiece final - due to host a limited number of fans, it has been confirmed - have now won just three of their last seven league games after crashing out of the Champions League and are in danger of receiving a swift comeuppance, given the club president's apparent derision for Europe's elite competition.

Of late, the Bianconeri have toiled somewhat in the final third, as top scorer Cristiano Ronaldo's rare failure to hit the net in his last three starts (the last time he missed out four times in a row was back in 2017) has come amid rumours of a summer departure - and the absence of bright spark Federico Chiesa from the attack has further undermined their cause.

Nevertheless, Juventus have won six of their last seven Serie A games against Udinese ahead of their trip to the Dacia Arena, racking up 14 goals in their last five visits. They will, therefore, see a viable chance to add to a relatively meagre tally of 25 away points so far this season - currently fewer than any other team in the top six of the standings.

Udinese head coach Luca Gotti pictured on February 14, 2021© Reuters

Last Sunday lunchtime, Udinese may have fashioned far fewer chances than relegation-threatened opponents Benevento - not to mention far less of the ball - but ultimately emerged with a 4-2 win.

Exciting young forward Jayden Braaf featured again at the Vigorito - striking the fourth goal for the visitors - and the on-loan Manchester City teenager is expected to be offered further opportunities to excel, given his impact in recent rounds.

A rare success in the final third for a side which has struggled to hit the net on a consistent basis saw the Zebrette pull closer to the top half of the table and within touching distance of confirming their place on the start line for Serie A's 2021-22 campaign.

Four defeats in their previous five matches had underlined the frailties within Luca Gotti's squad, but hopes of catching 10th-placed Verona remain realistic - as Hellas have been toiling of late and Udinese are now just two points behind.

They do, however, still have to face both Napoli and Inter in the closing weeks, shortly after taking on a wounded Juventus side. The last time the two clubs met, in January, Udinese fell to a 4-1 defeat at the Allianz Stadium, so will be seeking a significant upgrade on that result back on home turf.

Udinese Serie A form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W

Juventus Serie A form:
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D



Team News

Paulo Dybala in action for Juventus on January 3, 2021© Reuters

Juventus have only central defender Merih Demiral absent for Sunday's game, as winger Federico Chiesa has overcome a thigh problem and should be involved at the Dacia Arena.

Coach Andrea Pirlo is expected to make changes, however, with Paulo Dybala's return from a series of layoffs still far from a success - last week's scorer Alvaro Morata could therefore start alongside Capocannoniere leader Cristiano Ronaldo in the visitors' attack.

Midfielder Arthur is also in contention for a place in the Juve engine room, with Aaron Ramsey's spot in the team most under threat, as Pirlo considers a return to a four-man defence after reverting to three in Florence.

For the home side, much-admired goalkeeper Juan Musso is suspended due to yellow card accumulation, while highly-rated Jayden Braaf sprained his knee during training and will be assessed ahead of the game.

As Ilija Nestorovski recently joined Gerard Deulofeu and Ignacio Pussetto in being ruled out for the rest of the season, Braaf was set to make only his second start for the Friulani, having scored against Benevento last week. If the Dutch starlet is unavailable, then a more conventional target-man such as Stefano Okaka or Fernando Llorente - formerly of Juventus - will start as Udinese's lone striker.

Udinese possible starting lineup:
Scuffet; Becao, Nuytinck, Bonifazi; Molina, De Paul, Walace, Arslan, Stryger Larsen; Pereyra; Okaka

Juventus possible starting lineup:
Szczesny; Danilo, De Ligt, Bonucci, Alex Sandro; Cuadrado, Bentancur, Arthur, Chiesa; Morata, Ronaldo


SM words green background

We say: Udinese 0-2 Juventus

Having lost each of their last three home games by one goal to nil, Udinese appear ill-placed to take advantage of Juve's current inconsistencies, so may find that their barren run on Fruilian soil continues.

A lack of goal threat often undermines the hosts' neat play, so despite the promptings of in-demand skipper Rodrigo De Paul, expect them to come out of this encounter empty-handed - as their more illustrious Bianconeri counterparts take another uncertain step towards a top-four finish.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 62.91%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 16.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.61%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Udinese win it was 1-0 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Udinese vs Juventus

Udinese
15.0%
Draw
5.8%
Juventus
79.2%
120
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Aaron Ramsey in action for Juventus on February 27, 2021
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta1391334161828
2Inter Milan1384131141728
3Napoli128221991026
4Fiorentina1274125101525
5Juventus136702171425
6Lazio1281325141125
7AC Milan125432014619
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma132651721-412
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona134091732-1512
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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