Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 35

May 14, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
2 - 0
Udinese

Castrovilli (7'), Bonaventura (90')
Biraghi (45+4'), Milenkovic (69'), Venuti (73')
Bonaventura (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ebosele (42'), Walace (45+1'), Zeegelaar (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Udinese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Fiorentina 1-2 Basel
Thursday, May 11 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Udinese

All competitions

Last Game: Udinese 2-0 Sampdoria
Monday, May 8 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Fiorentina 1-1 Udinese

As Fiorentina are distracted by European commitments, it could be a good time for Udinese to make the trip to Tuscany and add to their away-points tally. While the visitors are not fully fit and firing up front, their hosts have been leaking goals of late and will surely concede at least once on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 63.88%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 15.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Fiorentina in this match.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Udinese
63.88% ( 0.06)	20.5% ( -0.03)	15.62% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 51.25% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.96% (

0.05)

44.04% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.57% (

0.05)

66.43% (

-0.05)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.9% (

0.03)

13.09% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.28% (

0.07)

39.72% (

-0.07)

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.98% (

-0.02)

41.02% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.42% (

-0.02)

77.57% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 63.88%

Udinese 15.62%

Draw 20.5%

Fiorentina	Draw	Udinese
2-0 @ 11.1% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 10.92% 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.41% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 63.88%	1-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 20.5%	0-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 1.76% Total : 15.62%