MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 18:18:37| >> :600:527425:527425:
Fiorentina logo
Coppa Italia | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 27, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Cremonese

Fiorentina
0 - 0
Cremonese


Dodo (39'), Julio (59')
FT

Ghiglione (21'), Sernicola (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Coppa Italia clash between Fiorentina and Cremonese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Coppa Italia
Last Game: Monza 3-2 Fiorentina
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Serie A

Cremonese

All competitions
Coppa Italia
Last Game: Udinese 3-0 Cremonese
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 1-1 Cremonese (Fiorentina win 3-1 on aggregate)

 Amid a packed schedule at home and abroad, Fiorentina may not be able to go at full tilt for the whole 90 minutes, but they should still do enough to progress to the final. Overcoming the Viola's first-leg lead is a step too far for cup giant-killers Cremonese, who will bow out with heads held high. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 64.82%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 14.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Cremonese win it was 0-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawCremonese
64.82% (1.538 1.54) 20.2% (-0.692 -0.69) 14.98% (-0.851 -0.85)
Both teams to score 50.72% (0.255 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.03% (1.373 1.37)43.97% (-1.377 -1.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.65% (1.326 1.33)66.35% (-1.329 -1.33)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.2% (0.878 0.88)12.8% (-0.882 -0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.89% (1.778 1.78)39.11% (-1.782 -1.78)
Cremonese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.16% (-0.298 -0.3)41.83% (0.296 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.71% (-0.26 -0.26)78.29% (0.258 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 64.81%
    Cremonese 14.98%
    Draw 20.2%
FiorentinaDrawCremonese
2-0 @ 11.31% (0.07 0.07)
1-0 @ 11% (-0.3 -0.3)
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.75% (0.299 0.3)
3-1 @ 6.76% (0.207 0.21)
4-0 @ 3.99% (0.278 0.28)
4-1 @ 3.47% (0.216 0.22)
3-2 @ 2.94% (0.067 0.07)
5-0 @ 1.64% (0.164 0.16)
4-2 @ 1.51% (0.082 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.43% (0.132 0.13)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 64.81%
1-1 @ 9.59% (-0.339 -0.34)
0-0 @ 5.35% (-0.328 -0.33)
2-2 @ 4.3% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 20.2%
0-1 @ 4.67% (-0.326 -0.33)
1-2 @ 4.18% (-0.183 -0.18)
0-2 @ 2.03% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.21% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 14.98%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Cremonese

Fiorentina
78.0%
Draw
12.0%
Cremonese
10.0%
50
Head to Head
Apr 5, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Cremonese
0-2
Fiorentina

Aiwu (73')
Cabral (20'), Gonzalez (75' pen.)
Martinez (38')
Mar 12, 2023 2pm
gameweek 26
Cremonese
0-2
Fiorentina

Ferrari (51')
Mandragora (27'), Cabral (50')
Mandragora (55'), Brekalo (60')
Aug 14, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 1
Fiorentina
3-2
Cremonese
Bonaventura (16'), Jovic (34'), Mandragora (90+5')
Okereke (19'), Buonaiuto (68')
Chiriches (9'), Ghiglione (62'), Okereke (82')
Escalante (44')
rhs 2.0
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