Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 27

Mar 18, 2023 at 2pm UK

U-Power Stadium

Monza
1 - 1
Cremonese

Augusto (69')
Pessina (25'), Izzo (45+1'), Antov (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ciofani (61')
Sernicola (43'), Dessers (68'), Bianchetti (71'), Pickel (71'), Castagnetti (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Monza and Cremonese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monza

All competitions

Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-1 Monza
Sunday, March 12 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cremonese

All competitions

Last Game: Cremonese 0-2 Fiorentina
Sunday, March 12 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Almost always a handful on home turf, Monza boast enough confidence and quality to punish their visitors' slack defending, so should score more than once: not only are Cremonese winless on the road, they have also conceded 16 goals from set-piece situations in Serie A this season - more than any other side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 57.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 19.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Cremonese win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
Monza	Draw	Cremonese
57.58% ( 0.25)	22.65% ( 0.08)	19.77% ( -0.34)

Both teams to score 52.47% (

-0.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.46% (

-0.81)

46.53% (

0.81)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.19% (

-0.77)

68.81% (

0.76)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.1% (

-0.2)

15.89% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.87% (

-0.37)

45.12% (

0.36)

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.39% (

-0.82)

37.6% (

0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.61% (

-0.81)

74.38% (

0.8)

Score Analysis

Monza 57.57%

Cremonese 19.77%

Draw 22.64%

Monza	Draw	Cremonese
1-0 @ 10.99% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 6.06% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.05% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.29% Total : 57.57%	1-1 @ 10.75% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.64%	0-1 @ 5.85% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.59% Total : 19.77%