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Serie A | Gameweek 26
Mar 12, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Monza

Hellas Verona
1 - 1
Monza

Verdi (51')
Coppola (57'), Duda (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sensi (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Hellas Verona and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spezia 0-0 Hellas Verona
Sunday, March 5 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 2-1 Empoli
Saturday, March 4 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Hellas Verona 1-1 Monza

Not only are Verona suffering a long dry spell in front of goal, they have scored just five times in the second half of Serie A fixtures this season - the worst record of any team in Europe's top five leagues. Should they trail at the break, then, the Scaligeri could be in trouble, but they have improved enough to secure a point against an impressive Monza side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 39.54%. A win for Monza had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Hellas VeronaDrawMonza
39.54% (0.503 0.5) 27.18% (-0.248 -0.25) 33.28% (-0.255 -0.26)
Both teams to score 49.99% (0.703 0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.63% (0.915 0.91)55.37% (-0.914 -0.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.42% (0.744 0.74)76.57% (-0.746 -0.75)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.64% (0.717 0.72)27.36% (-0.717 -0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.18% (0.92 0.92)62.82% (-0.921 -0.92)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.82% (0.292 0.29)31.18% (-0.292 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.49% (0.342 0.34)67.51% (-0.34099999999999 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Hellas Verona 39.53%
    Monza 33.28%
    Draw 27.18%
Hellas VeronaDrawMonza
1-0 @ 11.05% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 8.35% (0.109 0.11)
2-0 @ 7.16% (0.037 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.61% (0.118 0.12)
3-0 @ 3.1% (0.077 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.1% (0.085 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.17% (0.061 0.06)
4-0 @ 1% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 39.53%
1-1 @ 12.88% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 8.53% (-0.306 -0.31)
2-2 @ 4.87% (0.102 0.1)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.18%
0-1 @ 9.94% (-0.268 -0.27)
1-2 @ 7.51% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.79% (-0.112 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.92% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.25% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 33.28%

How you voted: Hellas Verona vs Monza

Hellas Verona
30.9%
Draw
30.9%
Monza
38.2%
68
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2022 2pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli118121881025
2Inter Milan1173125131224
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1171329141522
4Fiorentina116412291322
5Lazio1171324141022
6Juventus115601971221
7AC Milan105231711617
8Udinese115151416-216
9Bologna103611211115
10Torino114251516-114
11Empoli1135389-114
12Roma113441214-213
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona114071624-812
14CagliariCagliari11236919-109
15Genoa11236821-139
16Como112361222-109
17Parma111641417-39
18Monza111551014-48
19VeneziaVenezia112271019-98
20Lecce11227420-168


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