UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg

Apr 20, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
2 - 3
Lech Poznan

(Fiorentina win 6-4 on aggregate)

Sottil (78'), Castrovilli (90+2')
Biraghi (19'), Milenkovic (35'), Terzic (63'), Venuti (69')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sousa (9'), Velde (65' pen.), Sobiech (69')
Sobiech (17'), Czerwinski (23'), Kvekveskiri (83'), Skoras (88')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Fiorentina and Lech Poznan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Fiorentina 1-1 Atalanta
Monday, April 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lech Poznan

All competitions

Last Game: Lech Poznan 1-4 Fiorentina
Thursday, April 13 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Fiorentina 3-1 Lech Poznan (Fiorentina to win 7-2 on aggregate)

Having played as recently as Monday, we do not necessarily expect Fiorentina to be at their best in the second leg. Nevertheless, their superior quality and strength in depth should see them through this tie in comfortable fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 62.19%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 16.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Lech Poznan win it was 0-1 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Lech Poznan
62.19% ( 0.2)	20.9% ( -0.04)	16.91% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 52.83% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.59% (

-0.12)

43.4% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.2% (

-0.11)

65.8% (

0.12)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.6% (

0.02)

13.4% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.67% (

0.04)

40.32% (

-0.04)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61% (

-0.26)

39% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.28% (

-0.25)

75.72% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 62.18%

Lech Poznan 16.91%

Draw 20.9%

Fiorentina	Draw	Lech Poznan
2-0 @ 10.55% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 10.5% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.66% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.35% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.35% ( 0) Other @ 3.07% Total : 62.18%	1-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.9%	0-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.09% Total : 16.91%