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UEFA Conference League
Conference League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 16, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Tele2 Arena

Djurgarden
0 - 3
Lech Poznan


Radetinac (9'), Andersson (73'), Sabovic (87')
Danielsson (44')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Marchwinski (77'), Kvekveskiri (90'), Skoras (90+2')
Karlstrom (42'), Murawski (54'), Sousa (63'), Salamon (73'), Szymczak (73'), Sobiech (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Djurgardens IF and Lech Poznan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Djurgardens IF

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Lech Poznan 2-0 Djurgarden
Thursday, March 9 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Lech Poznan

All competitions
Last Game: Lech Poznan 2-0 Djurgarden
Thursday, March 9 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Djurgardens IF 0-1 Lech Poznan

 Djurgarden have to attack on home soil if they are to reach the quarter-finals of this year's Conference League, although focusing too much on clawing back the two-goal deficit could leave them exposed defensively. Poznan have conceded just three goals in their last five matches in all competitions, and we believe they will record a clean sheet here to book their spot in the last eight. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 43.77%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 0-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.

Result
Djurgardens IFDrawLech Poznan
43.77% (0.136 0.14) 24.86% (-0.035 -0.04) 31.37% (-0.1 -0.1)
Both teams to score 56.85% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.76% (0.122 0.12)46.24% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.47% (0.114 0.11)68.53% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)
Djurgardens IF Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.83% (0.113 0.11)21.17% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.96% (0.174 0.17)54.04% (-0.173 -0.17)
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)27.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)63.49% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Djurgardens IF 43.77%
    Lech Poznan 31.37%
    Draw 24.86%
Djurgardens IFDrawLech Poznan
1-0 @ 9.16% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.09% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.11% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.7% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.68% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 3% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.83% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 43.77%
1-1 @ 11.7% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.9% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.8% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.86%
0-1 @ 7.54% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.47% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.81% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.18% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.05% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 31.37%

How you voted: Djurgarden vs Lech Poznan

Djurgardens IF
35.9%
Draw
11.5%
Lech Poznan
52.6%
78
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2023 8pm
Round of 16
Lech Poznan
2-0
Djurgarden
Milic (39'), Marchwinski (82')
Murawski (60'), Ishak (67')

Gracia (49'), Edvardsen (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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