MX23RW : Monday, December 23 11:33:19| >> :600:248212:248212:
Molde logo
Conference League | Group Stage
Oct 27, 2022 at 8pm UK
Aker Stadion

Molde
2 - 3
Djurgarden

Brynhildsen (6'), Andre Kaasa (21')
Risa (45'), Breivik (59'), Fjortoft Lovik (65'), Brynhildsen (70')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Edvardsen (44'), Asoro (67'), Radetinac (77')
Schuller (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Molde and Djurgardens IF, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Molde 2-1 Rosenborg
Sunday, October 23 at 6pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

We said: Molde 1-1 Djurgardens IF

Two sides with the best defensive records in their respective domestic leagues meet on Thursday night so we are not expecting a massive amount of goals in what is likely to be a cagey affair. Molde have scored 11 goals in their last four home fixtures in all competitions, but group leaders Djurgarden will be the biggest test of the Norwegians' credentials to date. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Djurgardens IF had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.35%) and 2-0 (5.45%). The likeliest Djurgardens IF win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
MoldeDrawDjurgardens IF
41.37% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02) 22.98% (0.004999999999999 0) 35.65% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 65.16% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.02% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)35.98% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.92% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)58.08% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Molde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.04% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)17.96% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.2% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)48.8% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Djurgardens IF Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)20.57% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.9% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)53.1% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Molde 41.37%
    Djurgardens IF 35.65%
    Draw 22.98%
MoldeDrawDjurgardens IF
2-1 @ 8.61%
1-0 @ 6.35% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 5.45%
3-1 @ 4.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.9% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 3.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.12% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-2 @ 1.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 41.37%
1-1 @ 10.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.81% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 3.7% (0.004 0)
3-3 @ 2.05% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.98%
1-2 @ 7.93% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 5.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.62% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 4.18%
2-3 @ 3.59% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.44% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.65%
2-4 @ 1.42%
0-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 35.65%

How you voted: Molde vs Djurgarden

Molde
64.7%
Draw
17.6%
Djurgardens IF
17.6%
51
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2022 5.45pm
Group F
Djurgarden
3-2
Molde
Doumbouya (50'), Banda (58'), Asoro (90+1')
Fofana (39' pen.), Breivik (77')
Fofana (39')
rhs 2.0
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