UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Group Stage

Oct 6, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

Aker Stadion

Molde
3 - 0
Shamrock

Brynhildsen (10', 49'), Hussain (58')
Mannsverk (51'), Brynhildsen (63'), Haugan (67')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Emakhu (26'), Kavanagh (60'), Farrugia (82')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Molde and Shamrock Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Molde

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Tromso 0-1 Molde
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Goals
for

Shamrock Rovers

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Sligo 1-3 Shamrock
Saturday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Molde 3-0 Shamrock Rovers

Despite being on the same points in the group, Molde's performances have been far superior. With that in mind, this could be a long night for Shamrock, who may struggle to withstand a team who have already held Gent to a draw in recent weeks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 59.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 16.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.12%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Shamrock Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Molde in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Molde.

Result
Molde	Draw	Shamrock Rovers
59.66% ( -0.28)	23.58% ( 0.05)	16.76% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 44.44% (

0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.5% (

0.14)

54.5% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.14% (

0.11)

75.85% (

-0.12)

Molde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82% (

-0.05)

18% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.13% (

-0.09)

48.87% (

0.09)

Shamrock Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.19% (

0.38)

45.81% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.43% (

0.29)

81.57% (

-0.29)

Score Analysis

Molde 59.65%

Shamrock Rovers 16.76%

Draw 23.57%

Molde	Draw	Shamrock Rovers
1-0 @ 14.13% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 12.12% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 5.41% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.32% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.27% Total : 59.65%	1-1 @ 11.03% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.25% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.6% Total : 23.57%	0-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.42% Total : 16.76%