We said: Molde 3-0 Shamrock Rovers
Despite being on the same points in the group, Molde's performances have been far superior. With that in mind, this could be a long night for Shamrock, who may struggle to withstand a team who have already held Gent to a draw in recent weeks.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 59.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 16.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.12%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Shamrock Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Molde in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Molde.