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Shamrock Rovers
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 26
Sep 26, 2022 at 8pm UK
Tallaght Stadium, Dublin
University College Dublin

Shamrock
1 - 0
UCD

Farrugia (13')
Farrugia (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Higgins (24'), Brennan (76'), Caffrey (90')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Shamrock Rovers and University College Dublin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shelbourne 0-0 Shamrock
Thursday, September 22 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: UCD 3-2 Dundalk
Friday, September 9 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 77.51%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 7.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.95%) and 3-0 (11.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.14%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 0-1 (2.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.

Result
Shamrock RoversDrawUniversity College Dublin
77.51% (-0.517 -0.52) 15.12% (0.3 0.3) 7.36% (0.217 0.22)
Both teams to score 40.91% (0.067 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.71% (-0.565 -0.57)42.29% (0.566 0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.31% (-0.569 -0.57)64.69% (0.569 0.57)
Shamrock Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.96% (-0.258 -0.26)9.04% (0.258 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.24% (-0.625 -0.63)30.76% (0.625 0.63)
University College Dublin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.98% (0.201 0.2)55.02% (-0.201 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.11% (0.12 0.12)87.89% (-0.12 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Shamrock Rovers 77.5%
    University College Dublin 7.36%
    Draw 15.12%
Shamrock RoversDrawUniversity College Dublin
2-0 @ 14.36% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 11.95% (0.16 0.16)
3-0 @ 11.51% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-1 @ 8.58% (0.064 0.06)
4-0 @ 6.92% (-0.159 -0.16)
3-1 @ 6.88% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 4.13% (-0.068 -0.07)
5-0 @ 3.33% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.99% (-0.058 -0.06)
6-0 @ 1.33% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 77.5%
1-1 @ 7.14% (0.138 0.14)
0-0 @ 4.97% (0.124 0.12)
2-2 @ 2.56% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 15.12%
0-1 @ 2.97% (0.093 0.09)
1-2 @ 2.13% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 7.36%

How you voted: Shamrock vs UCD

Shamrock Rovers
75.0%
Draw
0.0%
University College Dublin
25.0%
12
Head to Head
May 19, 2022 7.45pm
UCD
0-3
Shamrock

(80')
Cotter (5'), Mandroiu (17'), Gaffney (41')
Byrne (28'), Hoare (32'), (61')
Feb 18, 2022 8pm
Shamrock
3-0
UCD
Hoare (39'), Mandroiu (45+1'), Burke (84')
rhs 2.0
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