League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 30

Sep 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

UCD
3 - 2
Dundalk

Lonergan (51', 87'), Duffy (79')
Gallagher (39'), Duffy (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ward (39'), Bradley (57')
Doyle (65'), Adams (90+3')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between University College Dublin and Dundalk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 62.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 15.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.69%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 1-0 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
University College Dublin	Draw	Dundalk
15.02% ( 0.23)	22.49% ( 0.01)	62.49% ( -0.24)

Both teams to score 43.89% (

0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.77% (

0.38)

53.22% (

-0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.21% (

0.32)

74.79% (

-0.32)

University College Dublin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.6% (

0.56)

47.4% (

-0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.21% (

0.41)

82.79% (

-0.41)

Dundalk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.45% (

0.05)

16.55% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.68% (

0.09)

46.32% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

University College Dublin 15.02%

Dundalk 62.48%

Draw 22.49%

University College Dublin	Draw	Dundalk
1-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.07% Total : 15.02%	1-1 @ 10.53% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.57% Total : 22.49%	0-1 @ 14.11% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 12.69% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 9.48% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 7.61% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 5.68% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 3.42% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.56% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.05) 0-5 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.72% Total : 62.48%