UCD1 - 2St Patrick's
Form, Standings, Stats
Friday, August 12 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 27 | -14 | 30 |
| 9 | University College Dublin | 26 | -33 | 16 |
| 10 | Finn Harps | 26 | -24 | 15 |
Sunday, August 14 at 5pm in League of Ireland Premier
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Derry City | 25 | 18 | 45 |
| 4 | St Patrick's Athletic | 25 | 12 | 39 |
| 5 | Sligo Rovers | 25 | 5 | 35 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 52.8%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.86%) and 1-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 1-0 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| University College Dublin | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
21% ( -0.15) | 26.2% ( -0) | 52.8% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 44.02% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.31% ( -0.13) | 58.68% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.77% ( -0.1) | 79.22% ( 0.09) |
| University College Dublin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.7% ( -0.23) | 43.3% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.45% ( -0.2) | 79.54% ( 0.19) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.63% ( 0.01) | 22.36% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.14% ( 0.02) | 55.86% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| University College Dublin | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 1% Total : 21% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.57% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 14.5% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 10.86% ( 0.06)1-2 @ 9.09% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.42% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.54% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.03% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.75% Total : 52.79% |
