UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Jul 28, 2022 at 7pm UK

Mestni Štadion Fazanerija

NS Mura
0 - 0
St Patrick's

(agg: -)

Lorbek (41'), Daku (48'), Klepac (90+4'), Bobicanec (90+4')
Marusko (71')

Brockbank (42'), Forrester (71'), O'Reilly (93')

St Patrick's win 6-5 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between NS Mura and St Patrick's Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NS Mura

Last Game: St Patrick's 1-1 NS Mura
Thursday, July 21 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League

St Patrick's Athletic

Last Six:

Last Game: St Patrick's 1-1 NS Mura
Thursday, July 21 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Derry City	23	18	43
4	St Patrick's Athletic	24	11	36
5	Sligo Rovers	23	5	32

We said: NS Mura 2-1 St Patrick's Athletic

We expect the Slovenians to have too much for their opponents on home territory. However, it is likely to be a game decided by the smallest of margins, with Daku's searing pace and ability in front of goal likely to prove the difference. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NS Mura win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a NS Mura win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
NS Mura	Draw	St Patrick's Athletic
44.32% ( 0.16)	25.3% ( -0.16)	30.38% ( 0)

Both teams to score 54.9% (

0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.43% (

0.7)

48.57% (

-0.7)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.31% (

0.64)

70.69% (

-0.64)

NS Mura Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.1% (

0.37)

21.9% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.85% (

0.56)

55.15% (

-0.56)

St Patrick's Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.29% (

0.36)

29.71% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.23% (

0.43)

65.77% (

-0.44)

Score Analysis

NS Mura 44.32%

St Patrick's Athletic 30.38%

Draw 25.29%

NS Mura	Draw	St Patrick's Athletic
1-0 @ 9.88% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.37% Total : 44.32%	1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.29%	0-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 7.28% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( 0) Other @ 3.3% Total : 30.38%