League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 20

Jun 17, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Richmond Park

St Patrick's
2 - 1
UCD

Doyle (50', 72' pen.)
Curtis (53'), Breslin (68')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Nolan (87')
Moore (72'), Caffrey (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League of Ireland Premier clash between St Patrick's Athletic and University College Dublin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Patrick's Athletic

Last Six:

Last Game: Dundalk 1-0 St Patrick's
Friday, May 27 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Derry City	19	15	33
4	St Patrick's Athletic	19	8	28
5	Sligo Rovers	19	2	25

We said: St Patrick's Athletic 2-0 University College Dublin

With the home advantage and the fact that they are in a far stronger league position, St Patrick's Athletic will head into this game as the favourites here. While the visitors will no doubt provide a fight due to their desperate need for points, this is a game that should be won by the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 70.14%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 10.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.47%) and 3-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 0-1 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.

Result
St Patrick's Athletic	Draw	University College Dublin
70.14% ( 0.33)	19.05% ( -0.1)	10.81% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 42.39% (

-0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.37% (

-0.14)

48.63% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.26% (

-0.12)

70.74% (

0.13)

St Patrick's Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.33% (

0.05)

12.67% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.15% (

0.11)

38.85% (

-0.11)

University College Dublin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.54% (

-0.5)

51.46% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.35% (

-0.33)

85.65% (

0.34)

Score Analysis

St Patrick's Athletic 70.13%

University College Dublin 10.81%

Draw 19.05%

St Patrick's Athletic	Draw	University College Dublin
2-0 @ 13.91% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 13.47% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 3.29% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.36% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.72% Total : 70.13%	1-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.51% Total : 19.05%	0-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.07% Total : 10.81%