League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 22

Jul 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Oriel Park

Dundalk
3 - 0
UCD

McMillan (51'), Adams (57'), Ward (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League of Ireland Premier clash between Dundalk and University College Dublin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Dundalk 2-0 University College Dublin

Keen to return to winning ways, Dundalk will have their eyes on Friday as a good opportunity to pick up three points, and they should have too much for the visitors. UCD have struggled to keep pace since returning to the top flight, and we see them being outclassed on their travels. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 78.24%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 7.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.36%) and 1-0 (10.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.87%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 0-1 (2.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.

Result
Dundalk	Draw	University College Dublin
78.24% ( -0.02)	14.45% ( 0.01)	7.31% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 43.08% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.75% (

0.03)

39.25% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.42% (

0.03)

61.58% (

-0.03)

Dundalk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.85% (

8.15% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.42% (

28.58% (

-0)

University College Dublin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.9% (

0.06)

53.09% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.29% (

0.04)

86.71% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Dundalk 78.22%

University College Dublin 7.31%

Draw 14.45%

Dundalk	Draw	University College Dublin
2-0 @ 13.59% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 11.36% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 10.84% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.2% ( 0) 4-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.51% ( 0) 5-0 @ 3.57% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.26% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.49% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0) 6-1 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 3.01% Total : 78.22%	1-1 @ 6.87% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.53% Total : 14.45%	0-1 @ 2.74% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.17% ( 0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 7.31%