MX23RW : Thursday, January 9 16:09:37| >> :300:86500:86500:
University College Dublin
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 21
Jun 24, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
Derry City

UCD
0 - 1
Derry


Caffrey (20')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Patching (53' pen.)
McGonigle (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League of Ireland Premier clash between University College Dublin and Derry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

University College Dublin

Last Six:
Last Game: St Patrick's 2-1 UCD
Friday, June 17 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Derry City

Last Six:
Last Game: Derry 1-1 Drogheda
Friday, June 17 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

We said: University College Dublin 1-4 Derry City

 Derry City find themselves far from their best, but we can only envisage them outclassing the basement side and arresting their slump on Friday. The hosts do have a collection of promising young players, but the 7-1 win for Derry in the previous meeting suggests that UCD will struggle to match their opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 66.3%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 12.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.53%) and 1-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 1-0 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Derry City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Derry City.

Result
University College DublinDrawDerry City
12.71% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01) 20.99% (0.094000000000001 0.09) 66.3% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Both teams to score 42.46% (-0.29199999999999 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.1% (-0.384 -0.38)51.89% (0.385 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.35% (-0.332 -0.33)73.64% (0.333 0.33)
University College Dublin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.87% (-0.254 -0.25)50.13% (0.254 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.25% (-0.176 -0.18)84.75% (0.17700000000001 0.18)
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.15% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)14.85% (0.152 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.83% (-0.287 -0.29)43.16% (0.28899999999999 0.29)
Score Analysis
    University College Dublin 12.71%
    Derry City 66.28%
    Draw 20.99%
University College DublinDrawDerry City
1-0 @ 5.14% (0.041 0.04)
2-1 @ 3.39% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 1.77% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 12.71%
1-1 @ 9.8% (0.026000000000002 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.44% (0.113 0.11)
2-2 @ 3.23% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 20.99%
0-1 @ 14.19% (0.14 0.14)
0-2 @ 13.53% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
1-2 @ 9.35% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 8.61% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.94% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-4 @ 4.11% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.84% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-5 @ 1.57% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-5 @ 1.08% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 66.28%

How you voted: UCD vs Derry

University College Dublin
18.2%
Draw
9.1%
Derry City
72.7%
22
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2022 7.45pm
Derry
7-1
UCD
Patching (13'), McGonigle (21', 23', 60'), McJannett (34'), Dummigan (45'), Boyce (55')
(29')
Nolan (63')
Higgins (31'), (41')
Apr 4, 2022 7.45pm
UCD
0-2
Derry

(44'), Higgins (88')
Patching (66'), Boyce (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!