League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 18

May 27, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Brandywell Stadium

Derry
2 - 2
Finn Harps

Patching (22'), Toal (90+4')
(33')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Mihaljevic (8'), McWoods (61')
Horgan (41'), (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League of Ireland Premier clash between Derry City and Finn Harps, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Derry City 2-1 Finn Harps

Both sides will enter this match in disappointing form, but Derry have the superior quality across the field, and we are backing the home team to end their recent losing run with an important victory over their rivals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 62.52%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Finn Harps had a probability of 15.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.05%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Finn Harps win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Derry City	Draw	Finn Harps
62.52% ( -1.08)	21.91% ( 0.35)	15.57% ( 0.73)

Both teams to score 46.73% (

0.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.95% (

-0.06)

50.05% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.97% (

-0.06)

72.03% (

0.06)

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.55% (

-0.37)

15.45% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.69% (

-0.7)

44.3% (

0.7)

Finn Harps Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.27% (

0.98)

44.73% (

-0.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.28% (

0.78)

80.72% (

-0.78)

Score Analysis

Derry City 62.51%

Finn Harps 15.57%

Draw 21.91%

Derry City	Draw	Finn Harps
1-0 @ 12.9% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 12.05% ( -0.28) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.28) 3-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.18) 4-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.08% Total : 62.51%	1-1 @ 10.38% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.72% Total : 21.91%	0-1 @ 5.56% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.43% Total : 15.57%