League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 25

Jul 22, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

UCD
0 - 2
Shelbourne

Brennan (50')
Keaney (54')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Boyd (55' pen.), Carr (90+3')
McManus (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League of Ireland Premier clash between University College Dublin and Shelbourne, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: University College Dublin 1-1 Shelbourne

Shelbourne head into this match as the firm favourites simply due to the league positioning and the poor home form of the hosts throughout this season. Yet with a victory in their last outing, University College Dublin could be out to put in another strong performance, potentially earning another point in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 58.02%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 17.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.36%) and 1-2 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 1-0 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shelbourne would win this match.

Result
University College Dublin	Draw	Shelbourne
17.09% ( 0.49)	24.89% ( 0.98)	58.02% ( -1.48)

Both teams to score 41.62% (

-1.64)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.37% (

-2.72)

58.62% (

2.71)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.82% (

-2.16)

79.17% (

2.15)

University College Dublin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.15% (

-0.98)

47.84% (

0.97)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.88% (

-0.73)

83.11% (

0.73)

Shelbourne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.8% (

-1.61)

20.19% (

1.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.5% (

-2.64)

52.49% (

2.63)

Score Analysis

University College Dublin 17.09%

Shelbourne 58.01%

Draw 24.88%

University College Dublin	Draw	Shelbourne
1-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.52) 2-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.11% Total : 17.09%	1-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.29) 0-0 @ 9.66% ( 0.95) 2-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.47% Total : 24.88%	0-1 @ 15.45% ( 0.8) 0-2 @ 12.36% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.12% ( -0.23) 0-3 @ 6.59% ( -0.33) 1-3 @ 4.86% ( -0.38) 0-4 @ 2.64% ( -0.27) 1-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.26) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.2) Other @ 3.26% Total : 58.01%