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Shelbourne
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 23
Jul 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Tolka Park

Shelbourne
3 - 1
Finn Harps

Molloy (14', 38'), Moylan (75')
Boyd (56')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Boyle (19')
Duncan (42'), Mihaljevic (67'), Rudden (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League of Ireland Premier clash between Shelbourne and Finn Harps, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shelbourne

Last Six:
Last Game: Sligo 3-1 Shelbourne
Saturday, July 2 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Finn Harps

Last Six:
Last Game: Finn Harps 0-1 Shamrock
Friday, July 1 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier

We said: Shelbourne 1-1 Finn Harps

 Finn Harps have struggled for form and confidence throughout the season, but they will see Friday as a good chance to pick up vital points against another side lacking momentum. While we do not see the ninth-placed side leaving with a victory, they should have enough to force a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 49.98%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Finn Harps had a probability of 23.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Finn Harps win it was 0-1 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shelbourne would win this match.

Result
ShelbourneDrawFinn Harps
49.98% (-0.701 -0.7) 26.84% (0.559 0.56) 23.18% (0.138 0.14)
Both teams to score 44.8% (-1.345 -1.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.02% (-1.826 -1.83)58.98% (1.822 1.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.55% (-1.435 -1.44)79.45% (1.432 1.43)
Shelbourne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.26% (-1.099 -1.1)23.74% (1.096 1.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.12% (-1.603 -1.6)57.87% (1.599 1.6)
Finn Harps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.75% (-0.905 -0.91)41.25% (0.902 0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.22% (-0.81 -0.81)77.78% (0.806 0.81)
Score Analysis
    Shelbourne 49.98%
    Finn Harps 23.18%
    Draw 26.84%
ShelbourneDrawFinn Harps
1-0 @ 14.08% (0.51 0.51)
2-0 @ 10.12% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.97% (-0.181 -0.18)
3-0 @ 4.85% (-0.135 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4.3% (-0.231 -0.23)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.152 -0.15)
4-0 @ 1.75% (-0.108 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.137 -0.14)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 49.98%
1-1 @ 12.47% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 9.79% (0.655 0.66)
2-2 @ 3.97% (-0.181 -0.18)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 26.84%
0-1 @ 8.67% (0.379 0.38)
1-2 @ 5.52% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.84% (0.076 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.63% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.17% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.13% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.21%
Total : 23.18%

How you voted: Shelbourne vs Finn Harps

Shelbourne
71.9%
Draw
18.8%
Finn Harps
9.4%
32
Head to Head
Apr 29, 2022 8pm
Finn Harps
1-0
Shelbourne
McNamee (89')
McNamee (56'), (80'), Rudden (90+5'), Mahdy (90+5')

Coyle (61'), Clarke (90+4')
Mar 18, 2022 7.45pm
Shelbourne
0-3
Finn Harps

Byrne (51')
Boyle (45'), Tourish (63'), McWoods (89')
N'Zeyi (30'), Webster (61'), Boyle (66'), Connolly (71')
Sep 19, 2020 7.30pm
Shelbourne
1-1
Finn Harps
Kilduff (33')
(90+2')
Byrne (75')
McNamee (53')
(9'), Folan (51'), (69')
Aug 28, 2020 7.45pm
Shelbourne
P-P
Finn Harps
Aug 4, 2020 5.45pm
Finn Harps
0-1
Shelbourne

Donnellan (33'), Sadiki (48'), McEleney (88')
Brennan (29')
Dobbs (16'), Byrne (43')
Sheppard (11')
rhs 2.0
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