League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 27

Aug 12, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

UCD
2 - 1
Finn Harps

Higgins (21'), Caffrey (58')
Keane (17'), Healy (45+1'), Keaney (49'), Ryan (90+2'), Brennan (90+3')
Keane (52')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Mihaljevic (18' pen.)
Slevin (30'), Tourish (38'), Donelon (74'), Connolly (90+2')

Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between University College Dublin and Finn Harps.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a University College Dublin win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Finn Harps had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a University College Dublin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Finn Harps win was 0-1 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that University College Dublin would win this match.

Result
University College Dublin	Draw	Finn Harps
40.02% ( 0.37)	27.4% ( 0.07)	32.58% ( -0.44)

Both teams to score 49.15% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.64% (

-0.36)

56.36% (

0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.62% (

-0.29)

77.38% (

0.29)

University College Dublin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.44% (

0.03)

27.56% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.92% (

0.05)

63.07% (

-0.05)

Finn Harps Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.84% (

-0.48)

32.15% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.36% (

-0.55)

68.63% (

0.55)

Score Analysis

University College Dublin 40.02%

Finn Harps 32.57%

Draw 27.39%

University College Dublin	Draw	Finn Harps
1-0 @ 11.42% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.93% Total : 40.02%	1-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.39%	0-1 @ 10.05% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.74% Total : 32.57%