Conference League | Group Stage
Oct 27, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Austria Vienna1 - 1Lech Poznan
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Austria Vienna 0-1 Villarreal
Thursday, October 13 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, October 13 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Be'er Sheva 1-1 Lech Poznan
Thursday, October 13 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, October 13 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
We said: Austria Vienna 1-1 Lech Poznan
Neither outfit have had great joy in front of goal of late, and the reverse fixture was the only time Austria Vienna have scored in the group, but they still lost heavily. Lech will likely settle for a point here and hope Villarreal do them a favour against Hapoel Be'er Sheva in the other game in Group C. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria Vienna win with a probability of 40.26%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austria Vienna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Austria Vienna | Draw | Lech Poznan |
40.26% ( 0.22) | 28.04% ( 0.04) | 31.7% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 47.04% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.11% ( -0.19) | 58.89% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.62% ( -0.14) | 79.39% ( 0.15) |
| Austria Vienna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.37% ( 0.04) | 28.63% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.56% ( 0.04) | 64.44% ( -0.04) |
| Lech Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.92% ( -0.28) | 34.09% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.23% ( -0.31) | 70.77% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
Austria Vienna 40.26%
Lech Poznan 31.7%
Draw 28.03%
| Austria Vienna | Draw | Lech Poznan |
| 1-0 @ 12.2% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0)4-0 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.69% Total : 40.26% | 1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.03% | 0-1 @ 10.5% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.32% Total : 31.7% |
How you voted: Austria Vienna vs Lech Poznan
Austria Vienna
39.1%Draw
19.6%Lech Poznan
41.3%46
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2022 8pm
Form Guide
