MX23RW : Thursday, November 14 06:34:01| >> :600:2718735:2718735:
Cremonese
Coppa Italia | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 5, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giovanni Zini
Fiorentina logo

Cremonese
0 - 2
Fiorentina


Aiwu (73')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cabral (20'), Gonzalez (75' pen.)
Martinez (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coppa Italia clash between Cremonese and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Cremonese 1-2 Fiorentina

With their confidence sapped still further by a 17th Serie A defeat of the season, Cremonese may find it hard to resist Italy's most in-form side on Wednesday. Fiorentina's surge since losing back-to-back league games in February has been nothing short of spectacular, and they can set themselves up with a first-leg lead ahead of the return in Florence later this month. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 55.64%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.79%) and 0-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Cremonese win it was 2-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
CremoneseDrawFiorentina
21.8% (-0.512 -0.51) 22.56% (-0.206 -0.21) 55.64% (0.718 0.72)
Both teams to score 55.87% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.47% (0.311 0.31)43.52% (-0.313 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.08% (0.305 0.31)65.92% (-0.306 -0.31)
Cremonese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.12% (-0.301 -0.3)33.88% (0.299 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.45% (-0.327 -0.33)70.55% (0.325 0.33)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.49% (0.34999999999999 0.35)15.5% (-0.353 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.6% (0.65199999999999 0.65)44.39% (-0.656 -0.66)
Score Analysis
    Cremonese 21.8%
    Fiorentina 55.64%
    Draw 22.55%
CremoneseDrawFiorentina
2-1 @ 5.74% (-0.103 -0.1)
1-0 @ 5.68% (-0.125 -0.13)
2-0 @ 3.08% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-1 @ 2.07% (-0.055 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.11% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 21.8%
1-1 @ 10.59% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.25% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.55%
1-2 @ 9.88% (0.025 0.03)
0-1 @ 9.79% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 9.13% (0.096 0.1)
1-3 @ 6.14% (0.089 0.09)
0-3 @ 5.67% (0.128 0.13)
2-3 @ 3.32% (0.021 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.86% (0.076 0.08)
0-4 @ 2.64% (0.091 0.09)
2-4 @ 1.55% (0.029 0.03)
1-5 @ 1.07% (0.041 0.04)
0-5 @ 0.99% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 55.64%

How you voted: Cremonese vs Fiorentina

Cremonese
9.6%
Draw
8.7%
Fiorentina
81.7%
104
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2023 2pm
Aug 14, 2022 5.30pm
Fiorentina
3-2
Cremonese
Bonaventura (16'), Jovic (34'), Mandragora (90+5')
Okereke (19'), Buonaiuto (68')
Chiriches (9'), Ghiglione (62'), Okereke (82')
Escalante (44')
rhs 2.0
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