Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 90%. A draw had a probability of 7.4% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 2.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.5%) and 4-0 (11.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.52%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (1.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Napoli in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Napoli.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Sampdoria |
90% ( 0.8) | 7.41% ( -0.54) | 2.59% ( -0.27) |
Both teams to score 35.95% ( -0.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.86% ( 1.23) | 27.14% ( -1.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.33% ( 1.54) | 47.66% ( -1.54) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.37% ( 0.32) | 3.62% ( -0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
84.35% ( 1.04) | 15.65% ( -1.04) |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
37.3% ( -0.63) | 62.7% ( 0.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
8.03% ( -0.3) | 91.97% ( 0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Sampdoria |
3-0 @ 13.82% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 12.5% ( -0.29) 4-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.32) 5-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.4) 1-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.38) 3-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.26) 4-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.04) 6-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.32) 5-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.12) 7-0 @ 2% ( 0.2) 6-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) 7-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.99% Total : 89.98% | 1-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.25) 0-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.26% Total : 7.41% | 0-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.11) Other @ 1.53% Total : 2.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 25 |
2 | Inter Milan | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 24 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 22 |
4 | Fiorentina | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 22 |
5 | Lazio | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 22 |
6 | Juventus | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 21 |
7 | AC Milan | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
8 | Udinese | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
9 | Bologna | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Torino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 14 |
11 | Empoli | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 13 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 12 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 9 |
15 | Genoa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 9 |
16 | Como | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Parma | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 9 |
18 | Monza | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 8 |
20 | Lecce | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 20 | -16 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |