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Serie A | Gameweek 38
Jun 4, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Sampdoria logo

Napoli
2 - 0
Sampdoria

Osimhen (64' pen.), Simeone (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Murru (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bologna 2-2 Napoli
Sunday, May 28 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sampdoria 2-2 Sassuolo
Friday, May 26 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Napoli 2-0 Sampdoria

With history already made and several key men planning their exits, Napoli have been waning for a while now. However, they will want to sign off a superb campaign in style, so can put poor Samp to the sword again and reach 90 points for the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 90%. A draw had a probability of 7.4% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 2.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.5%) and 4-0 (11.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.52%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (1.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Napoli in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Napoli.

Result
NapoliDrawSampdoria
90% (0.80200000000001 0.8) 7.41% (-0.536 -0.54) 2.59% (-0.266 -0.27)
Both teams to score 35.95% (-0.485 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.86% (1.227 1.23)27.14% (-1.228 -1.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.33% (1.535 1.54)47.66% (-1.535 -1.54)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.37% (0.318 0.32)3.62% (-0.318 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
84.35% (1.044 1.04)15.65% (-1.044 -1.04)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
37.3% (-0.628 -0.63)62.7% (0.627 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
8.03% (-0.2971 -0.3)91.97% (0.297 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 89.98%
    Sampdoria 2.59%
    Draw 7.41%
NapoliDrawSampdoria
3-0 @ 13.82% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 12.5% (-0.29 -0.29)
4-0 @ 11.46% (0.32 0.32)
5-0 @ 7.61% (0.403 0.4)
1-0 @ 7.54% (-0.375 -0.38)
3-1 @ 6.46% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-1 @ 5.84% (-0.264 -0.26)
4-1 @ 5.36% (0.04 0.04)
6-0 @ 4.21% (0.324 0.32)
5-1 @ 3.55% (0.116 0.12)
7-0 @ 2% (0.201 0.2)
6-1 @ 1.97% (0.113 0.11)
3-2 @ 1.51% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.017 -0.02)
7-1 @ 0.93% (0.075 0.08)
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 89.98%
1-1 @ 3.52% (-0.254 -0.25)
0-0 @ 2.27% (-0.175 -0.18)
2-2 @ 1.36% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 7.41%
0-1 @ 1.06% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 2.59%

How you voted: Napoli vs Sampdoria

Napoli
84.4%
Draw
8.9%
Sampdoria
6.7%
45
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2023 5pm
gameweek 17
Sampdoria
0-2
Napoli
Osimhen (19'), Elmas (82' pen.)
Jan 9, 2022 3.30pm
gameweek 21
Napoli
1-0
Sampdoria
Petagna (43')

Chabot (45+1'), Murru (90+1')
Sep 23, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 5
Sampdoria
0-4
Napoli

Damsgaard (28'), Depaoli (77')
Osimhen (10', 50'), Fabian (39'), Zielinski (59')
Manolas (87')
Apr 11, 2021 2pm
gameweek 30
Sampdoria
0-2
Napoli
Fabian (35'), Osimhen (87')
Manolas (24'), Koulibaly (46'), Lozano (78')
Dec 13, 2020 2pm
gameweek 11
Napoli
2-1
Sampdoria
Lozano (53'), Petagna (68')
Di Lorenzo (84'), Insigne (90+2'), Rui (90+2')
Jankto (20')
Thorsby (38'), Ekdal (52'), Colley (82'), Ramirez (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan1384131141728
2Napoli128221991026
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
4Fiorentina1274125101525
5Juventus136702171425
6Lazio1281325141125
7AC Milan125432014619
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona134091732-1512
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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